TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Maksymilian Rus 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.32
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11910121171311––
Maksymilian Rus
Away
3.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
11910121171311––
H2H Rafal Gajda 29–13 Maksymilian Rus Maksymilian Rus has won 13 of their 42 meetings.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Gajda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rus form (20%) is below what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.32 / Rus 3.10
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Gajda)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13182738
Gajda1.32
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 150 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 141
Rus3.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 75 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda7wins
AwayRus3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGajda leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda66.7%6 of 9
AwayRusn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda9Rus1n = 10Gajda took 9 of 10
S2Gajda7Rus3n = 10Gajda took 7 of 10
S3Gajda5Rus5n = 10split evenly
S4Gajda4Rus3n = 7Gajda took 4 of 7
S5Gajda2Rus3n = 5Rus took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaRusG − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match44.638.8+5.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaRusBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 833 vs 132 / 40951.4%32.3%428 / 833 vs 132 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.32/Rus 3.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:30R. Gajda341211113M. Rus2810990
WSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda52131189113M. Rus42114111152
WJul 28 · 15:05R. Gajda4211119113M. Rus31291191
WJul 28 · 09:05R. Gajda331111113M. Rus217680
WJul 21 · 12:45R. Gajda3961111113M. Rus27117541
LJul 21 · 10:20R. Gajda48111291152M. Rus50514119113
WJul 7 · 12:20R. Gajda391115133M. Rus32813110
LJul 7 · 08:20R. Gajda49128611122M. Rus551011119143
LJun 30 · 12:45R. Gajda521112118102M. Rus46514411123
WJun 30 · 10:20R. Gajda58131399143M. Rus5611111111122
R. Gajda10
WSep 23 · 08:20R. Gajda1.50111110113B. Madej2.35771291LSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113WSep 23 · 05:30R. Gajda1.75111165113M. Baron1.9599111162LSep 22 · 20:20R. Gajda1.858111171P. Kaczynski1.8011713113LSep 22 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.57611611113R. Gajda2.2011611942WSep 22 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.835460R. Gajda1.861111113LSep 22 · 17:10R. Gajda1.7413831192P. Kurek1.951111116113WSep 22 · 16:00R. Gajda1.298111213123K. Kowalski3.301161015102LSep 22 · 08:20R. Gajda2.60710100K. Hetnar1.411112123LSep 22 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113R. Gajda1.863290
M. Rus10
WSep 23 · 08:45M. Rus2.601011712113O. Vincenec1.44128111082LSep 23 · 07:10M. Rus2.55331141M. Baron1.4511117113LSep 23 · 06:20B. Madej1.6617911113M. Rus2.101511791LSep 16 · 17:05M. Rus4.50116981K. Hetnar1.1471111113LSep 16 · 15:30M. Rus3.405440P. Kurek1.241111113LSep 16 · 14:20M. Rus1.9911129752B. Madej1.678101111113WSep 16 · 12:45M. Rus3.001111113J. Pelka1.308880LSep 16 · 11:30M. Rus2.601311141172M. Sikon1.41159163113WSep 16 · 10:20J. Pelka1.32411111172M. Rus2.90119613113LSep 16 · 09:30P. Kurek1.261211113M. Rus3.2510740
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