TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Rus vs Mariusz Baron · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 11:30Scheduled
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 13–7Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
6 – 6
All 12 meetings · 50.0%
Last 10 · 6–4
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.31
At publish
Lost last 23–7Last 10Lost last 2
Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 4h before this match
Baron beat Rus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.75 / Baron 1.31
TT Elite Series · #13182770
Rus2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 75 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 100
Baron1.31
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 199 of 365
Up 2–0, closes it82% 96 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it67% 142 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus6wins
AwayBaron4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRus leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus75%3 of 4
AwayBaron60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus4Baron5n = 9Baron took 5 of 9
S2Rus5Baron4n = 9Rus took 5 of 9
S3Rus5Baron4n = 9Rus took 5 of 9
S4Rus1Baron6n = 7Baron took 6 of 7
S5Rus3Baron0n = 3Rus took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusBaronR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.842.4−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 410 vs 869 / 181832.2%47.8%132 / 410 vs 869 / 1818Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 23 · 07:10M. Rus21331141M. Baron4011117113
LAug 18 · 15:30M. Rus4612711161M. Baron52101113183
LAug 18 · 09:30M. Rus176920M. Baron331111113
WJul 21 · 17:05M. Rus351113113M. Baron2991190
WJul 21 · 08:45M. Rus51611119143M. Baron48117711122
WJul 14 · 15:30M. Rus50111368123M. Baron529111111102
WJul 14 · 09:30M. Rus5411111110113M. Baron4913881282
LJun 19 · 10:10M. Rus36912961M. Baron43111011113
WJun 18 · 13:55M. Rus3911511123M. Baron368117101
M. Rus10
LSep 23 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32111011133M. Rus3.109127111WSep 23 · 08:45M. Rus2.601011712113O. Vincenec1.44128111082LSep 23 · 07:10M. Rus2.55331141M. Baron1.4511117113LSep 23 · 06:20B. Madej1.6617911113M. Rus2.101511791LSep 16 · 17:05M. Rus4.50116981K. Hetnar1.1471111113LSep 16 · 15:30M. Rus3.405440P. Kurek1.241111113LSep 16 · 14:20M. Rus1.9911129752B. Madej1.678101111113WSep 16 · 12:45M. Rus3.001111113J. Pelka1.308880LSep 16 · 11:30M. Rus2.601311141172M. Sikon1.41159163113WSep 16 · 10:20J. Pelka1.32411111172M. Rus2.90119613113
M. Baron10
LSep 23 · 09:55O. Vincenec2.1911116133M. Baron1.538911111LSep 23 · 07:55R. Skotniczny1.5211911113M. Baron2.37911771WSep 23 · 07:10M. Rus2.55331141M. Baron1.4511117113LSep 23 · 05:30R. Gajda1.75111165113M. Baron1.9599111162WSep 22 · 04:20M. Baron2.411111143S. Szostok1.5173120LSep 22 · 03:05M. Baron1.6311119992M. Sikon1.93771111113LSep 22 · 01:30M. Baron2.15711631P. Kurek1.6311711113LSep 22 · 24:30G. Marud1.91611911113M. Baron1.7811911882LSep 21 · 23:50M. Baron1.58811612122P. Slosarczyk2.021181110143WSep 21 · 22:20M. Baron1.951111113G. Marud1.756950
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