TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Jozala vs Witold Buczynski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311511115114––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWaldemar Jozala above · Witold Buczynski below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Witold Buczynski at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Waldemar Jozala 16–7 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:51What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Buczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Jozala
Correct
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jozala 1186 vs Buczynski 1278
Buczynski
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jozala 20% vs Buczynski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jozala 40% vs Buczynski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jozala -4 · Buczynski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buczynski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJozala 1.83 / Buczynski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Buczynski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13206302
Jozala1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Buczynski1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJozala7wins
AwayBuczynski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJozala leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJozala100%5 of 5
AwayBuczynski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jozala5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S2Jozala6Buczynski4n = 10Jozala took 6 of 10
S3Jozala5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S4Jozala5Buczynski1n = 6Jozala took 5 of 6
S5Jozala2Buczynski1n = 3Jozala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJozalaBuczynskiJ − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.434.0+6.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJozalaBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 311 vs 450 / 113835.4%39.5%110 / 311 vs 450 / 1138Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiJozala 1.83/Buczynski 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jozala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala4291111113W. Buczynski27113671
LOct 1 · 17:05W. Jozala2046100W. Buczynski341111123
LSep 9 · 11:55W. Jozala2610880W. Buczynski341211113
LSep 9 · 05:55W. Jozala4887131192W. Buczynski501111116113
WJul 31 · 16:40W. Jozala351113113W. Buczynski2441190
WJul 31 · 10:40W. Jozala49111197113W. Buczynski4055111182
WJun 4 · 13:55W. Jozala331111113W. Buczynski133640
WJun 4 · 07:55W. Jozala601115914113W. Buczynski52517111272
WMay 23 · 12:20W. Jozala48111113133W. Buczynski397615111
WMay 20 · 11:45W. Jozala4391211113W. Buczynski271110241
W. Jozala10
LSep 28 · 12:40P. Przewlocki1.6111118113W. Jozala2.20571191WSep 28 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek1.807370W. Jozala1.911111113LSep 28 · 09:50W. Jozala1.738750I. Szymanski2.001111113LSep 25 · 19:40K. Juszczyk1.4441311113W. Jozala2.631111561LSep 25 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.5091111113W. Jozala2.50119471LSep 25 · 18:10W. Jozala2.10125881O. Vincenec1.67101111113WSep 25 · 16:35W. Jozala1.73111156113L. Oracz2.0079111192LSep 25 · 15:50M. Baron1.571111113W. Jozala2.256380WSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113WSep 19 · 13:05P. Polok1.20119114102W. Jozala4.33411611123
W. Buczynski10
LSep 28 · 12:15I. Szymanski1.8391111113W. Buczynski1.83114671LSep 28 · 09:25P. Przewlocki1.73111156123W. Buczynski2.00851111102LSep 28 · 08:35I. Szymanski1.83117811113W. Buczynski1.8341111932LSep 28 · 07:20W. Buczynski2.63881171S. Szostok1.4411113113WSep 28 · 06:05K. Hetnar1.2581050W. Buczynski3.751112113LSep 28 · 04:55J. Kaczmarek1.67981111113W. Buczynski2.1011116892WSep 28 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.0010670W. Buczynski1.731211113WSep 26 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.6737110W. Buczynski2.101111133LSep 26 · 15:55P. Gamrot1.8011811113W. Buczynski1.86911781LSep 26 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.771111113W. Buczynski1.952970
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