TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Jozala vs Oliver Vincenec 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511811811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:45 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWaldemar Jozala above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 58.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Waldemar Jozala 4–4 Oliver Vincenec Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vincenec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jozala 1227 vs Vincenec 1331
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jozala 80% vs Vincenec 60%
Jozala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jozala 50% vs Vincenec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jozala +1 · Vincenec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vincenec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jozala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJozala 2.10 / Vincenec 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vincenec)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13194295
Jozala2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 17 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Vincenec1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 132 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it86% 59 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJozala4wins
AwayVincenec4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJozala50%3 of 6
AwayVincenecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jozala6Vincenec2n = 8Jozala took 6 of 8
S2Jozala5Vincenec3n = 8Jozala took 5 of 8
S3Jozala6Vincenec2n = 8Jozala took 6 of 8
S4Jozala1Vincenec5n = 6Vincenec took 5 of 6
S5Jozala1Vincenec3n = 4Vincenec took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricJozalaVincenecJ − VBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.436.6+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJozalaVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 307 vs 687 / 150035.8%45.8%110 / 307 vs 687 / 1500Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecJozala 2.10/Vincenec 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WMar 18 · 21:45W. Jozala331111113O. Vincenec184860
LFeb 11 · 18:10W. Jozala4611117982O. Vincenec45481111113
WFeb 5 · 16:10W. Jozala331111113O. Vincenec208930
LJan 11 · 17:25W. Jozala4511119592O. Vincenec44381111113
LDec 31 · 21:20W. Jozala31691151O. Vincenec3811115113
WDec 10 · 21:45W. Jozala48115118133O. Vincenec47511911112
LNov 12 · 20:35W. Jozala4411511982O. Vincenec42711211113
WNov 5 · 18:10W. Jozala51181111113O. Vincenec39203971
W. Jozala10
LSep 25 · 19:40K. Juszczyk1.4441311113W. Jozala2.631111561LSep 25 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.5091111113W. Jozala2.50119471WSep 25 · 16:35W. Jozala1.73111156113L. Oracz2.0079111192LSep 25 · 15:50M. Baron1.571111113W. Jozala2.256380WSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113WSep 19 · 13:05P. Polok1.20119114102W. Jozala4.33411611123WSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:50P. Adamus1.20101161162W. Jozala4.33129119113LSep 17 · 20:00W. Jozala4.255640M. Koczyba1.161111113
O. Vincenec10
WSep 25 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.83911119113L. Oracz1.8311671152LSep 25 · 16:55M. Baron1.91811119113O. Vincenec1.8011741192LSep 25 · 15:25K. Juszczyk1.801711113O. Vincenec1.9115260WSep 23 · 17:05M. Rus2.801171011102O. Vincenec1.37611127123WSep 23 · 15:55O. Vincenec2.15821111113M. Baron1.6011118782WSep 23 · 14:45R. Gajda1.9011311782O. Vincenec1.80611811113WSep 23 · 13:30B. Madej1.709711101O. Vincenec1.9511115123LSep 23 · 11:55R. Skotniczny1.571111113O. Vincenec2.209840LSep 23 · 11:05R. Gajda1.70101111123O. Vincenec2.001286101WSep 23 · 09:55O. Vincenec2.1911116133M. Baron1.538911111
Upcoming Matches
W. Jozala
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec
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