TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliwier Sokolowski vs Waldemar Jozala 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119114117––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Waldemar Jozala below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 65.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 2–0 Waldemar Jozala Waldemar Jozala has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1310 vs Jozala 1208
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 40% vs Jozala 60%
Jozala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 40% vs Jozala 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +1 · Jozala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sokolowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jozala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.50 / Jozala 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sokolowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13194720
Sokolowski1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 87 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 66 of 80
Jozala2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 17 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSokolowski2wins
AwayJozala0wins
Sokolowski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSokolowskiJozalaS − JBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.535.0+6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiJozalaBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 586 vs 110 / 30943.3%35.6%254 / 586 vs 110 / 309Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.50/Jozala 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 25 · 18:55O. Sokolowski4291111113W. Jozala31119471
WAug 29 · 04:50O. Sokolowski4111117123W. Jozala399911101
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 25 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.73411911113M. Baron2.0011611872LSep 25 · 16:15O. Sokolowski2.385540K. Juszczyk1.531111113LSep 25 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501091171L. Oracz1.5012117113LSep 24 · 08:20A. Burkacki2.051091211113O. Sokolowski1.65121110832WSep 24 · 07:35J. Nowak2.1681080O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 24 · 05:35M. Lebek1.6011813101O. Sokolowski2.1581115123LSep 24 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.4211118113O. Sokolowski2.55241151LSep 24 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek1.761112113O. Sokolowski1.9061060WSep 24 · 02:20K. Hetnar1.671112281O. Sokolowski2.0981411113LSep 24 · 01:35J. Nowak2.2512812123O. Sokolowski1.54101110101
W. Jozala10
LSep 25 · 19:40K. Juszczyk1.4441311113W. Jozala2.631111561LSep 25 · 18:10W. Jozala2.10125881O. Vincenec1.67101111113WSep 25 · 16:35W. Jozala1.73111156113L. Oracz2.0079111192LSep 25 · 15:50M. Baron1.571111113W. Jozala2.256380WSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113WSep 19 · 13:05P. Polok1.20119114102W. Jozala4.33411611123WSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:50P. Adamus1.20101161162W. Jozala4.33129119113LSep 17 · 20:00W. Jozala4.255640M. Koczyba1.161111113
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