TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Skotniczny vs Oliwier Sokolowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.42
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112114811115––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:48 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
112114811115––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 1–1 Oliwier Sokolowski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Skotniczny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1476 vs Sokolowski 1307
Skotniczny
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 60% vs Sokolowski 20%
Skotniczny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 80% vs Sokolowski 40%
Skotniczny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny -2 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.42 / Sokolowski 2.55
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Skotniczny)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13187580
Skotniczny1.42
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 212 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it96% 111 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it82% 161 of 197
Sokolowski2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 118 of 319
Down 0–1, comes back20% 39 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkotniczny1wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSkotnicznySokolowskiSkotniczny − SokolowskiBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.040.0−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznySokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime615 / 1047 vs 250 / 57858.7%43.3%615 / 1047 vs 250 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.42/Sokolowski 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 12 · 05:10R. Skotniczny219570O. Sokolowski331111113
WAug 19 · 06:00R. Skotniczny51111199113O. Sokolowski4788111192
R. Skotniczny10
LSep 24 · 04:00A. Burkacki2.1411411113R. Skotniczny1.64711881LSep 23 · 16:20R. Skotniczny1.60811129112R. Gajda2.101191011133WSep 23 · 15:05R. Skotniczny1.221111113B. Madej3.607750WSep 23 · 13:55R. Skotniczny1.731111113M. Baron1.987850WSep 23 · 12:50M. Rus5.005730R. Skotniczny1.121111113WSep 23 · 11:55R. Skotniczny1.571111113O. Vincenec2.209840WSep 23 · 10:20R. Skotniczny1.191116163M. Rus4.23514140WSep 23 · 09:05R. Skotniczny1.22111111113B. Madej4.00861381WSep 23 · 07:55R. Skotniczny1.5211911113M. Baron2.37911771WSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 24 · 05:35M. Lebek1.6011813101O. Sokolowski2.1581115123LSep 24 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek1.761112113O. Sokolowski1.9061060WSep 24 · 02:20K. Hetnar1.671112281O. Sokolowski2.0981411113LSep 24 · 01:35J. Nowak2.2512812123O. Sokolowski1.54101110101LSep 23 · 23:35M. Lebek1.501211711113O. Sokolowski2.40105111392LSep 23 · 22:50R. Wiza1.7891111123O. Sokolowski1.931167101WSep 23 · 21:10A. Burkacki1.9471570O. Sokolowski1.631117113LSep 21 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.805950J. Nowak1.901111113WSep 21 · 24:45M. Sikon1.90812981O. Sokolowski1.80111011113WSep 21 · 24:00R. Ogon3.0581111111O. Sokolowski1.2511135133
Upcoming Matches
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