TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Skotniczny vs Rafal Gajda 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 11Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111912109111113
Rafal Gajda
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
105 points played in total.
Set by set
81111912109111113
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 25–17 Rafal Gajda Rafal Gajda has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Skotniczny beat Gajda 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.60 / Gajda 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skotniczny)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13184561
Skotniczny1.60
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 11
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 203 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it81% 153 of 189
Gajda2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 124 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back27% 44 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny8wins
AwayGajda2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny85.7%6 of 7
AwayGajda33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny7Gajda3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S2Skotniczny6Gajda4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S3Skotniczny6Gajda4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S4Skotniczny5Gajda1n = 6Skotniczny took 5 of 6
S5Skotniczny2Gajda1n = 3Skotniczny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyGajdaS − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.2+3.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime615 / 1045 vs 433 / 83958.9%51.6%615 / 1045 vs 433 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.60/Gajda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 06:45R. Skotniczny49711128113R. Gajda41114101152
WSep 15 · 12:20R. Skotniczny351111133R. Gajda2788110
LSep 15 · 08:20R. Skotniczny45111071162R. Gajda51912118113
WAug 26 · 17:05R. Skotniczny331111113R. Gajda239770
WAug 26 · 08:45R. Skotniczny4313712113R. Gajda3811111061
WJul 1 · 15:05R. Skotniczny3611311113R. Gajda32611781
LJul 1 · 09:05R. Skotniczny219840R. Gajda331111113
WJun 24 · 13:30R. Skotniczny351311113R. Gajda2611870
WJun 24 · 07:30R. Skotniczny491011512113R. Gajda46125111082
WJun 3 · 14:20R. Skotniczny4011117113R. Gajda35891171
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 23 · 15:05R. Skotniczny1.221111113B. Madej3.607750WSep 23 · 13:55R. Skotniczny1.731111113M. Baron1.987850WSep 23 · 12:50M. Rus5.005730R. Skotniczny1.121111113WSep 23 · 11:55R. Skotniczny1.571111113O. Vincenec2.209840WSep 23 · 10:20R. Skotniczny1.191116163M. Rus4.23514140WSep 23 · 09:05R. Skotniczny1.22111111113B. Madej4.00861381WSep 23 · 07:55R. Skotniczny1.5211911113M. Baron2.37911771WSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113WSep 23 · 05:55R. Skotniczny1.6511711113O. Vincenec2.10611831WSep 21 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.451114113W. Tobiasz2.5541230
R. Gajda10
WSep 23 · 15:30M. Rus2.8089111182R. Gajda1.37111179113LSep 23 · 14:45R. Gajda1.9011311782O. Vincenec1.80611811113WSep 23 · 13:10R. Gajda1.93931111113M. Baron1.7811118552WSep 23 · 12:30B. Madej2.8011881362R. Gajda1.376111111113WSep 23 · 11:05R. Gajda1.70101111123O. Vincenec2.001286101WSep 23 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32111011133M. Rus3.109127111WSep 23 · 08:20R. Gajda1.50111110113B. Madej2.35771291LSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113WSep 23 · 05:30R. Gajda1.75111165113M. Baron1.9599111162LSep 22 · 20:20R. Gajda1.858111171P. Kaczynski1.8011713113
Upcoming Matches
R. Skotniczny
R. Gajda
Nothing scheduled
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