TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Zbigniew Sobkow vs Witold Buczynski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112119117––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
112119117––––
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 1–2 Witold Buczynski Zbigniew Sobkow has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sobkow beat Buczynski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Sobkow
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1353 vs Buczynski 1274
Sobkow
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 20% vs Buczynski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 50% vs Buczynski 30%
Sobkow
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow -4 · Buczynski -2
Sobkow
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobkow) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.77 / Buczynski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sobkow)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13200464
Sobkow1.77
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it65% 24 of 37
Buczynski1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 187 of 489
Down 0–1, comes back22% 65 of 293
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSobkow1wins
AwayBuczynski2wins
Buczynski leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobkow2Buczynski1n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
S2Sobkow0Buczynski3n = 3Buczynski took 3 of 3
S3Sobkow2Buczynski1n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
S4Sobkow1Buczynski2n = 3Buczynski took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSobkowBuczynskiS − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.338.7−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 127 vs 447 / 112948.8%39.6%62 / 127 vs 447 / 1129Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobkowSobkow 1.77/Buczynski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobkow won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 26 · 07:55Z. Sobkow4212811113W. Buczynski301011541
LAug 22 · 10:35Z. Sobkow3911612101W. Buczynski4471114123
LAug 22 · 03:00Z. Sobkow31671171W. Buczynski4211119113
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 26 · 12:45S. Szostok1.701111113Z. Sobkow1.957520LSep 26 · 11:55Z. Sobkow1.8391111892P. Gamrot1.88119911113LSep 26 · 10:20Z. Sobkow1.9111951182S. Szostok1.80511116113LSep 26 · 09:05Z. Sobkow2.3097140J. Wieczerzak1.551111163WSep 26 · 07:55Z. Sobkow1.6512811113W. Buczynski2.101011541WSep 26 · 06:45D. Morawiec1.68115781Z. Sobkow2.0591111113LSep 26 · 05:55Z. Sobkow1.9011361192P. Gamrot1.80911118113WSep 25 · 14:40Z. Sobkow2.1071111113K. Jablonski1.67119591WSep 25 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.251111143P. Gumulinski1.5768120WSep 25 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.671112108153S. Juzek2.109101211132
W. Buczynski10
LSep 26 · 13:10D. Morawiec1.601011811113W. Buczynski2.1512811972LSep 26 · 11:30S. Szostok1.5511112113W. Buczynski2.25891141WSep 26 · 10:40J. Wieczerzak1.4765111162W. Buczynski2.40111187113LSep 26 · 09:55P. Gamrot1.7851111113W. Buczynski1.94113621LSep 26 · 07:55Z. Sobkow1.6512811113W. Buczynski2.101011541LSep 26 · 07:10S. Szostok1.411112113W. Buczynski2.7081060WSep 26 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.651110991W. Buczynski2.1071211113WSep 22 · 16:40W. Buczynski1.861111113O. Vincenec1.839880LSep 22 · 15:05J. Pelka1.5111113113W. Buczynski2.40941191LSep 22 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.371111113W. Buczynski2.854890
Upcoming Matches
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