TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Sebastian Szostok vs Zbigniew Sobkow 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115112––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
117115112––––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 3–3 Zbigniew Sobkow Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Szostok beat Sobkow 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szostok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobkow form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.70 / Sobkow 1.95
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Szostok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13200209
Szostok1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 338 of 525
Up 2–0, closes it94% 129 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it80% 220 of 275
Sobkow1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 16 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSzostok3wins
AwaySobkow3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok40%2 of 5
AwaySobkown = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok5Sobkow1n = 6Szostok took 5 of 6
S2Szostok2Sobkow4n = 6Sobkow took 4 of 6
S3Szostok4Sobkow2n = 6Szostok took 4 of 6
S4Szostok2Sobkow3n = 5Sobkow took 3 of 5
S5Szostok1Sobkow2n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSzostokSobkowSzostok − SobkowBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.339.5+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime915 / 1579 vs 62 / 12658%49.2%915 / 1579 vs 62 / 126Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.70/Sobkow 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 26 · 10:20S. Szostok44511116113Z. Sobkow4411951182
LSep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok56117118192Z. Sobkow52611311213
LSep 13 · 06:55S. Szostok29116751Z. Sobkow4291111113
WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok3911611113Z. Sobkow25511631
LAug 23 · 09:00S. Szostok4111861152Z. Sobkow48711118113
WAug 23 · 04:30S. Szostok331111113Z. Sobkow269890
S. Szostok10
WSep 26 · 11:30S. Szostok1.5511112113W. Buczynski2.25891141WSep 26 · 10:20Z. Sobkow1.9111951182S. Szostok1.80511116113WSep 26 · 09:30D. Morawiec1.801111791S. Szostok1.9111311113LSep 26 · 08:45S. Szostok1.5541181672P. Gamrot2.251181114113WSep 26 · 07:10S. Szostok1.411112113W. Buczynski2.7081060WSep 26 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.70981131S. Szostok2.0011115113LSep 23 · 14:40W. Urban2.001111128113S. Szostok1.7335141192LSep 23 · 13:30S. Szostok1.809128121K. Slawinski1.91111011143WSep 23 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk4.50681191S. Szostok1.1711118113WSep 23 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.6311114842S. Szostok1.44781111113
Z. Sobkow10
WSep 26 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.771111113W. Buczynski1.952970LSep 26 · 11:55Z. Sobkow1.8391111892P. Gamrot1.88119911113LSep 26 · 10:20Z. Sobkow1.9111951182S. Szostok1.80511116113LSep 26 · 09:05Z. Sobkow2.3097140J. Wieczerzak1.551111163WSep 26 · 07:55Z. Sobkow1.6512811113W. Buczynski2.101011541WSep 26 · 06:45D. Morawiec1.68115781Z. Sobkow2.0591111113LSep 26 · 05:55Z. Sobkow1.9011361192P. Gamrot1.80911118113WSep 25 · 14:40Z. Sobkow2.1071111113K. Jablonski1.67119591WSep 25 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.251111143P. Gumulinski1.5768120WSep 25 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.671112108153S. Juzek2.109101211132
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