TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Pelka vs Witold Buczynski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.51
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119114311119––
Witold Buczynski
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
119114311119––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 29–18 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 18 of their 47 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Buczynski beat Pelka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-18 in 47
Pelka
Correct
gap of 11 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1356 vs Buczynski 1277
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 20% vs Buczynski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 30% vs Buczynski 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -1 · Buczynski -4
Buczynski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.51 / Buczynski 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pelka)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13179075
Pelka1.51
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 86 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it65% 62 of 95
Buczynski2.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 195 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back23% 69 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka7wins
AwayBuczynski3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka100%5 of 5
AwayBuczynski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S2Pelka6Buczynski4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S3Pelka6Buczynski4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Pelka3Buczynski2n = 5Pelka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaBuczynskiP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.932.3+4.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 950 vs 444 / 112046.8%39.6%445 / 950 vs 444 / 1120Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.51/Buczynski 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 09:05J. Pelka2899100W. Buczynski341111123
WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka52911129113W. Buczynski42115101152
LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka37791291W. Buczynski43111110113
WAug 21 · 11:30J. Pelka50711912113W. Buczynski47117111082
WAug 21 · 07:10J. Pelka341111123W. Buczynski2046100
WJun 1 · 17:05J. Pelka4211812113W. Buczynski317111031
WJun 1 · 08:45J. Pelka331111113W. Buczynski269980
WMar 19 · 04:35J. Pelka3711114113W. Buczynski27391141
LDec 4 · 16:55J. Pelka2339110W. Buczynski351111133
WNov 26 · 12:30J. Pelka331111113W. Buczynski187740
J. Pelka10
LSep 22 · 13:55J. Pelka1.76913451O. Vincenec1.90111111113WSep 22 · 12:45J. Pruszkowski1.607760J. Pelka2.151111113LSep 22 · 11:55J. Pelka1.851161313102K. Jablonski1.858111115123LSep 22 · 10:20J. Pelka2.709990J. Pruszkowski1.411111113LSep 22 · 09:05J. Pelka1.6599100W. Buczynski2.051111123WSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka1.711111113O. Vincenec2.007540LSep 22 · 06:45K. Slawinski1.32811119113J. Pelka2.8511991182WSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 21 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90991191P. Przewlocki1.7511112113LSep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka2.10991191P. Przewlocki1.6711112113
W. Buczynski10
LSep 22 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.371111113W. Buczynski2.854890LSep 22 · 13:30W. Buczynski1.83139871K. Jablonski1.86111111113LSep 22 · 12:20W. Buczynski3.8012961192K. Slawinski1.221011119113LSep 22 · 10:40W. Buczynski1.91911731O. Vincenec1.7811611113WSep 22 · 09:05J. Pelka1.6599100W. Buczynski2.051111123LSep 22 · 08:20K. Slawinski1.2271111113W. Buczynski3.60118671LSep 22 · 07:30W. Buczynski1.90691131K. Jablonski1.7611113113LSep 22 · 06:20W. Buczynski3.204480J. Pruszkowski1.321111113LSep 20 · 14:40M. Skuril1.76114511113W. Buczynski1.9551111692WSep 20 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.251111133W. Wojtaszczyk1.3389110
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