TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Pruszkowski vs Jerzy Pelka 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711611––––
Jerzy Pelka
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
711711611––––
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 28–19 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 19 of their 47 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pruszkowski beat Pelka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-19 in 47
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 9 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1460 vs Pelka 1349
Pruszkowski
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Pelka 20%
Pruszkowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Pelka 30%
Pruszkowski
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +2 · Pelka -3
Pelka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.60 / Pelka 2.15
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13170799
Pruszkowski1.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 451 of 693
Up 2–0, closes it95% 226 of 238
Up 1–0, closes it83% 347 of 420
Pelka2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 87 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski7wins
AwayPelka3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski100%5 of 5
AwayPelka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski5Pelka5n = 10split evenly
S2Pruszkowski6Pelka4n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S3Pruszkowski9Pelka1n = 10Pruszkowski took 9 of 10
S4Pruszkowski5Pelka2n = 7Pruszkowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiPelkaPruszkowski − PelkaBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.033.7+4.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime1140 / 1801 vs 445 / 95063.3%46.8%1140 / 1801 vs 445 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.60/Pelka 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski331111113J. Pelka279990
WSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski4071111113J. Pelka26111771
LSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski32391191J. Pelka4211119113
LMar 5 · 13:45J. Pruszkowski4066111162J. Pelka47111168113
WMar 5 · 11:20J. Pruszkowski48111016113J. Pelka395121481
WJan 13 · 17:40J. Pruszkowski361114113J. Pelka2361250
WJan 13 · 11:40J. Pruszkowski4414711123J. Pelka4212119101
WNov 26 · 14:55J. Pruszkowski3961111113J. Pelka25116261
LNov 26 · 08:55J. Pruszkowski31911831J. Pelka3811511113
WOct 15 · 14:00J. Pruszkowski371511113J. Pelka2813780
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 22 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.501111109113O. Vincenec2.5039121192WSep 22 · 10:20J. Pelka2.709990J. Pruszkowski1.411111113LSep 22 · 09:30K. Slawinski1.7314117113J. Pruszkowski2.001281171WSep 22 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski1.41101111113K. Jablonski2.60127861LSep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.80111151142O. Vincenec1.85136113113WSep 22 · 06:20W. Buczynski3.204480J. Pruszkowski1.321111113WSep 21 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113R. Idaczyk2.758580WSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.5371111113J. Pelka2.38111771WSep 21 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski1.44111111113P. Przewlocki2.63813481WSep 21 · 10:10M. Skuril2.50931171J. Pruszkowski1.5011119113
J. Pelka10
LSep 22 · 11:55J. Pelka1.851161313102K. Jablonski1.858111115123LSep 22 · 10:20J. Pelka2.709990J. Pruszkowski1.411111113LSep 22 · 09:05J. Pelka1.6599100W. Buczynski2.051111123WSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka1.711111113O. Vincenec2.007540LSep 22 · 06:45K. Slawinski1.32811119113J. Pelka2.8511991182WSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 21 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90991191P. Przewlocki1.7511112113LSep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka2.10991191P. Przewlocki1.6711112113LSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.5371111113J. Pelka2.38111771WSep 21 · 11:50M. Skuril2.108111061J. Pelka1.6711512113
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