TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Pelka vs Oliver Vincenec 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.76
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111311411511––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
9111311411511––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 10–5 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pelka beat Vincenec 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.76 / Vincenec 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pelka)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13178825
Pelka1.76
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 86 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it65% 62 of 95
Vincenec1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back24% 67 of 279
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka6wins
AwayVincenec4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka71.4%5 of 7
AwayVincenec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka7Vincenec3n = 10Pelka took 7 of 10
S2Pelka6Vincenec4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S3Pelka6Vincenec4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Pelka4Vincenec4n = 8split evenly
S5Pelka1Vincenec2n = 3Vincenec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaVincenecP − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.038.4+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 950 vs 679 / 148546.8%45.7%445 / 950 vs 679 / 1485Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.76/Vincenec 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka331111113O. Vincenec167540
WSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka50141411113O. Vincenec4512121381
WSep 18 · 06:05J. Pelka49115139113O. Vincenec50811111192
LAug 20 · 15:55J. Pelka531311127102O. Vincenec541561011123
WAug 20 · 09:55J. Pelka4011612113O. Vincenec323111081
WJul 24 · 17:05J. Pelka361211133O. Vincenec30109110
LJul 24 · 08:45J. Pelka29113871O. Vincenec4071111113
LJul 22 · 22:25J. Pelka371011881O. Vincenec3712311113
LJun 17 · 15:55J. Pelka4412961162O. Vincenec471011114113
WJun 17 · 09:55J. Pelka3961111113O. Vincenec33119941
J. Pelka10
WSep 22 · 12:45J. Pruszkowski1.607760J. Pelka2.151111113LSep 22 · 11:55J. Pelka1.851161313102K. Jablonski1.858111115123LSep 22 · 10:20J. Pelka2.709990J. Pruszkowski1.411111113LSep 22 · 09:05J. Pelka1.6599100W. Buczynski2.051111123WSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka1.711111113O. Vincenec2.007540LSep 22 · 06:45K. Slawinski1.32811119113J. Pelka2.8511991182WSep 22 · 05:55J. Pelka1.901111113K. Jablonski1.804990LSep 21 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90991191P. Przewlocki1.7511112113LSep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka2.10991191P. Przewlocki1.6711112113LSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.5371111113J. Pelka2.38111771
O. Vincenec10
WSep 22 · 13:10K. Slawinski1.35711101182O. Vincenec2.90119128113LSep 22 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.501111109113O. Vincenec2.5039121192WSep 22 · 10:40W. Buczynski1.91911731O. Vincenec1.7811611113LSep 22 · 09:55K. Jablonski1.8611911113O. Vincenec1.83711391LSep 22 · 07:55J. Pelka1.711111113O. Vincenec2.007540WSep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski1.80111151142O. Vincenec1.85136113113WSep 22 · 05:30K. Slawinski1.27111011882O. Vincenec2.95612811113LSep 21 · 05:05G. Marud1.571111113O. Vincenec2.031580WSep 21 · 03:55O. Vincenec2.151112113P. Kurek1.6371060LSep 21 · 02:45M. Baron1.881111123O. Vincenec1.6748100
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.