TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115118––––
Rafal Idaczyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Rafal Idaczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 70.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 21–8 Rafal Idaczyk Rafal Idaczyk has won 8 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-8 in 29
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 13 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1435 vs Idaczyk 1328
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Idaczyk 20%
Pruszkowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 70% vs Idaczyk 20%
Pruszkowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +3 · Idaczyk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Pruszkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Idaczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.40 / Idaczyk 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13164891
Pruszkowski1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 451 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it95% 229 of 241
Up 1–0, closes it83% 347 of 420
Idaczyk2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 98 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back16% 25 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski8wins
AwayIdaczyk2wins
Pruszkowski leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski100%8 of 8
AwayIdaczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski8Idaczyk2n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S2Pruszkowski8Idaczyk2n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S3Pruszkowski7Idaczyk3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S4Pruszkowski2Idaczyk1n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiIdaczykP − IBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.627.3+7.3per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime1138 / 1802 vs 468 / 94363.2%49.6%1138 / 1802 vs 468 / 943Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.40/Idaczyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 04:10J. Pruszkowski4012116113R. Idaczyk361071181
LAug 5 · 18:00J. Pruszkowski37991181R. Idaczyk3711114113
WJul 20 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski331111113R. Idaczyk146530
WJun 24 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski361411113R. Idaczyk2912980
WJan 21 · 12:55J. Pruszkowski331111113R. Idaczyk154560
LJan 21 · 06:55J. Pruszkowski2271050R. Idaczyk341112113
WNov 19 · 13:20J. Pruszkowski341211113R. Idaczyk2410860
WOct 21 · 06:25J. Pruszkowski371511113R. Idaczyk3013890
WOct 16 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski351311113R. Idaczyk2311750
WOct 16 · 07:30J. Pruszkowski3911116113R. Idaczyk31961151
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 21 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.5371111113J. Pelka2.38111771WSep 21 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski1.44111111113P. Przewlocki2.63813481WSep 21 · 10:10M. Skuril2.50931171J. Pruszkowski1.5011119113LSep 21 · 09:25J. Pruszkowski1.67111070P. Gumulinski2.101312113WSep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44117115113M. Skuril2.6381131172LSep 21 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.57391191J. Pelka2.2511119113WSep 21 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski1.61117116113P. Przewlocki2.2091161172WSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113LSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 21 · 13:05M. Skuril1.911111123R. Idaczyk1.8098100LSep 21 · 12:15R. Idaczyk2.007970P. Gumulinski1.731111113LSep 21 · 10:35R. Idaczyk2.0091112131P. Przewlocki1.7311914153WSep 21 · 09:50J. Pelka2.2013101181R. Idaczyk1.6115126113LSep 21 · 08:35R. Idaczyk2.1011119692P. Gumulinski1.67781111113LSep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.9158111162M. Skuril1.80111197113LSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83810190J. Pelka1.831112213LSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113WSep 21 · 03:00R. Idaczyk1.83711125123P. Przewlocki1.831161011102LSep 15 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1514914113R. Idaczyk1.6012111291
Upcoming Matches
J. Pruszkowski
Sep 22 · 06:20J. Pruszkowski—W. Buczynski——Sep 22 · 07:10J. Pruszkowski—O. Vincenec——Sep 22 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski—K. Jablonski——Sep 22 · 09:30J. Pruszkowski—K. Slawinski——Sep 22 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski—J. Pelka——Sep 22 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski—O. Vincenec——Sep 22 · 12:45J. Pruszkowski—J. Pelka——Sep 22 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski—W. Buczynski——Sep 22 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski—K. Slawinski——Sep 22 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski—K. Jablonski——
R. Idaczyk
Nothing scheduled
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