TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Brozek vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
19171210118––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 19-17
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 77 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Piotr Brozek at 69.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 2–1 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2469.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 2.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1401 vs Slosarczyk 1259
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 20% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 30% vs Slosarczyk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -3 · Slosarczyk -2
Brozek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Brozek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.40 / Slosarczyk 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Brozek)-2.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13249276
Brozek1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Slosarczyk2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 121 of 396
Down 0–1, comes back12% 28 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrozek2wins
AwaySlosarczyk1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBrozek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek2Slosarczyk1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S2Brozek3Slosarczyk0n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S3Brozek0Slosarczyk3n = 3Slosarczyk took 3 of 3
S4Brozek1Slosarczyk2n = 3Slosarczyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrozekSlosarczykB − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.338.7+4.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 195 vs 362 / 95955.4%37.8%108 / 195 vs 362 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.40/Slosarczyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 6 · 03:25P. Brozek35811881P. Slosarczyk3811511113
WAug 26 · 02:35P. Brozek551311713113P. Slosarczyk53117111592
WAug 25 · 16:55P. Brozek4011117113P. Slosarczyk25471131
P. Brozek10
WOct 6 · 10:10W. Glanowski3.251191113112P. Brozek1.331311611133LOct 6 · 07:45P. Brozek1.57681171W. Glanowski2.2511117113LOct 6 · 06:30P. Brozek1.7311590R. Gajda2.001311113LOct 6 · 05:15P. Brozek1.50139711112W. Buczynski2.501111117133WOct 6 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.754940P. Brozek1.401111113LOct 6 · 03:25P. Brozek1.30811881P. Slosarczyk3.4011511113LSep 30 · 14:20K. Kowalski5.5011115113P. Brozek1.13471141LSep 30 · 13:30O. Jadach1.83781111113P. Brozek1.8311116882WSep 30 · 11:25K. Adamus2.0081171182P. Brozek1.73119119113LSep 30 · 10:35I. Szymanski6.0011117113P. Brozek1.11581151
P. Slosarczyk10
LOct 6 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.61111387113P. Slosarczyk2.20411111112LOct 6 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk1.801111871W. Buczynski1.9161311113WOct 6 · 06:05W. Glanowski1.737790P. Slosarczyk2.001111113LOct 6 · 04:55R. Gajda1.361181011113P. Slosarczyk3.0081112072WOct 6 · 03:25P. Brozek1.30811881P. Slosarczyk3.4011511113LOct 2 · 17:05L. Bernacki1.92116511113P. Slosarczyk1.8071111822LOct 2 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk2.451187131J. Pelka1.4581111153WOct 2 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.7341161142P. Slosarczyk2.00115117113LOct 2 · 13:30K. Hetnar1.221111113P. Slosarczyk3.708360LOct 2 · 11:55P. Wiciok—711811113P. Slosarczyk—11911972
Upcoming Matches
P. Brozek
P. Slosarczyk
Oct 6 · 11:00P. Slosarczyk2.63R. Gajda1.44—Oct 6 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.00P. Przewlocki1.73—Oct 6 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk1.67W. Buczynski2.10—Oct 6 · 14:40P. Slosarczyk1.83W. Glanowski1.83—Oct 7 · 03:25P. Slosarczyk3.75K. Slawinski1.25—Oct 7 · 04:55P. Slosarczyk3.40L. Oracz1.30—Oct 7 · 06:05P. Slosarczyk2.25O. Vincenec1.57—Oct 7 · 09:25P. Slosarczyk3.75K. Slawinski1.25—
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