TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Brozek vs Rafal Gajda 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113511911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Rafal Gajda below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Piotr Brozek at 56.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 0–3 Rafal Gajda Piotr Brozek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:1856.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Gajda
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1418 vs Gajda 1331
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 20% vs Gajda 100%
Gajda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 50% vs Gajda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Gajda +5
Gajda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Brozek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.727 / Gajda 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Brozek)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13249016
Brozek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Gajda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 120 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back28% 42 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrozek0wins
AwayGajda3wins
Gajda leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGajda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek0Gajda3n = 3Gajda took 3 of 3
S2Brozek0Gajda3n = 3Gajda took 3 of 3
S3Brozek2Gajda1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrozekGajdaB − GBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match29.038.7−9.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 194 vs 446 / 86455.7%51.6%108 / 194 vs 446 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.73/Gajda 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 6 · 06:30P. Brozek2511590R. Gajda351311113
LMay 6 · 14:45P. Brozek31751181R. Gajda3911116113
LMay 6 · 11:05P. Brozek31571181R. Gajda4211119113
P. Brozek10
LOct 6 · 05:15P. Brozek1.50139711112W. Buczynski2.501111117133WOct 6 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.754940P. Brozek1.401111113LOct 6 · 03:25P. Brozek1.30811881P. Slosarczyk3.4011511113LSep 30 · 14:20K. Kowalski5.5011115113P. Brozek1.13471141LSep 30 · 13:30O. Jadach1.83781111113P. Brozek1.8311116882WSep 30 · 11:25K. Adamus2.0081171182P. Brozek1.73119119113LSep 30 · 10:35I. Szymanski6.0011117113P. Brozek1.11581151WSep 30 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.63791191P. Brozek1.4411114113WSep 30 · 08:10K. Kowalski3.405101112142P. Brozek1.301112610163WSep 30 · 07:20O. Jadach1.83101161172P. Brozek1.83126115113
R. Gajda10
WOct 6 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.73471191R. Gajda2.0011117113WOct 6 · 04:55R. Gajda1.361181011113P. Slosarczyk3.0081112072WOct 6 · 03:50R. Gajda1.73811811113W. Glanowski2.0011711632WSep 30 · 16:20K. Schaniel1.93461151R. Gajda1.7811118113WSep 30 · 15:30M. Rus2.50911914102R. Gajda1.451161112123LSep 30 · 14:45R. Gajda1.80119471W. Buczynski1.9081111113LSep 30 · 13:10R. Gajda2.30812891M. Sikon1.55111011113LSep 30 · 12:20B. Madej2.451111123R. Gajda1.4788100LSep 30 · 11:05R. Gajda1.7711117111W. Buczynski1.9313111133WSep 30 · 09:30R. Gajda1.401111148113M. Rus2.7529161182
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