TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Brozek vs Witold Buczynski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13119117111171113
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:08 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Witold Buczynski below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 104 set 5, 11-13 · our read held Piotr Brozek at 65.3%
104 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 3–1 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:0865.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Brozek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1454 vs Buczynski 1291
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 40% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Buczynski 40%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +1 · Buczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Brozek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.50 / Buczynski 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Brozek)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13248926
Brozek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Buczynski2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 196 of 508
Down 0–1, comes back22% 65 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBrozek3wins
AwayBuczynski1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBrozek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek100%3 of 3
AwayBuczynskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek3Buczynski1n = 4Brozek took 3 of 4
S2Brozek3Buczynski1n = 4Brozek took 3 of 4
S3Brozek2Buczynski2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBrozekBuczynskiBrozek − BuczynskiBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.232.5+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 192 vs 462 / 116456.3%39.7%108 / 192 vs 462 / 1164Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.50/Buczynski 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 16 · 15:05P. Brozek561212912113W. Buczynski491010111442
WMay 16 · 09:05P. Brozek331111113W. Buczynski187470
LMay 6 · 17:05P. Brozek195950W. Buczynski331111113
WMay 6 · 08:45P. Brozek371313113W. Buczynski30111180
P. Brozek10
WOct 6 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.754940P. Brozek1.401111113LOct 6 · 03:25P. Brozek1.30811881P. Slosarczyk3.4011511113LSep 30 · 14:20K. Kowalski5.5011115113P. Brozek1.13471141LSep 30 · 13:30O. Jadach1.83781111113P. Brozek1.8311116882WSep 30 · 11:25K. Adamus2.0081171182P. Brozek1.73119119113LSep 30 · 10:35I. Szymanski6.0011117113P. Brozek1.11581151WSep 30 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.63791191P. Brozek1.4411114113WSep 30 · 08:10K. Kowalski3.405101112142P. Brozek1.301112610163WSep 30 · 07:20O. Jadach1.83101161172P. Brozek1.83126115113WSep 30 · 05:15K. Adamus2.20891171P. Brozek1.6111117113
W. Buczynski10
LOct 6 · 04:30W. Glanowski1.831111113W. Buczynski1.839480WOct 6 · 03:00P. Przewlocki1.733750W. Buczynski2.001111113WOct 4 · 14:20R. Idaczyk1.837540W. Buczynski1.831111113LOct 4 · 13:30J. Jesiek2.00116117113W. Buczynski1.7391151152WOct 4 · 11:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.30981141W. Buczynski3.4011118113WOct 4 · 10:35D. Swider1.44111013872W. Buczynski2.631121111113LOct 4 · 09:00P. Polok1.33121113113W. Buczynski3.251481151LOct 4 · 08:10R. Idaczyk1.731111113W. Buczynski2.009690LOct 4 · 07:20J. Jesiek1.831111113W. Buczynski1.835650LOct 4 · 05:15W. Wojtaszczyk1.331113113W. Buczynski3.2591160
Upcoming Matches
P. Brozek
W. Buczynski
Oct 6 · 07:20W. Buczynski1.91P. Slosarczyk1.80—Oct 6 · 08:10W. Buczynski1.80R. Gajda1.91—Oct 6 · 09:00W. Buczynski1.80W. Glanowski1.91—Oct 6 · 10:35W. Buczynski2.10P. Przewlocki1.67—Oct 6 · 11:25W. Buczynski2.50P. Brozek1.50—Oct 6 · 13:30W. Buczynski1.91P. Slosarczyk1.80—Oct 6 · 14:20W. Buczynski1.80R. Gajda1.91—
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