Jerzy Pelka vs Oliwier Sokolowski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 8Finished

Jerzy Pelka

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1113119117511911

Oliwier Sokolowski

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:08 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%

Graded at full time

Jerzy Pelka to win

54.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJerzy Pelka above · Oliwier Sokolowski below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 98 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Jerzy Pelka at 54.5%

98 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 04:08

54.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.4pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Pelka

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Pelka 1371 vs Sokolowski 1300

Pelka

Wrong

both rated, 70 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pelka 40% vs Sokolowski 20%

Pelka

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pelka 40% vs Sokolowski 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Pelka -1 · Sokolowski -3

Sokolowski

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Pelka) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPelka 1.727 / Sokolowski 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 46%

Edge (Pelka)-3.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13258776

Pelka1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 90 of 179

Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47

Up 1–0, closes it67% 66 of 99

Sokolowski2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog38% won 131 of 349

Down 0–1, comes back21% 43 of 209

Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 126

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPelkaSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 940 vs 278 / 64347.3%43.2%445 / 940 vs 278 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pelka

Pelka 1.73/Sokolowski 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.5%

Pelka · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Sokolowski won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Pelka10