TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Slawinski vs Piotr Przewlocki 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119611811––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched: 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKacper Slawinski above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 62.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Slawinski 14–6 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:4962.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 0.8pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1510 vs Przewlocki 1386
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 60% vs Przewlocki 80%
Przewlocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 70% vs Przewlocki 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski +1 · Przewlocki +3
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.571 / Przewlocki 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Slawinski)-0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13254262
Slawinski1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 157 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it99% 76 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it81% 116 of 144
Przewlocki2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back24% 54 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski7wins
AwayPrzewlocki3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski85.7%6 of 7
AwayPrzewlocki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski7Przewlocki3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S2Slawinski9Przewlocki1n = 10Slawinski took 9 of 10
S3Slawinski4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S4Slawinski4Przewlocki3n = 7Slawinski took 4 of 7
S5Slawinski2Przewlocki2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiPrzewlockiS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.937.4+4.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime620 / 995 vs 526 / 109462.3%48.1%620 / 995 vs 526 / 1094Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.57/Przewlocki 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 04:10K. Slawinski4311119123P. Przewlocki347611101
WOct 5 · 10:35K. Slawinski511111117113P. Przewlocki4896131192
LOct 5 · 04:10K. Slawinski511110101192P. Przewlocki53912129113
WSep 23 · 14:20K. Slawinski43111110113P. Przewlocki32691251
WSep 23 · 08:10K. Slawinski331111113P. Przewlocki259970
WSep 15 · 14:20K. Slawinski331111113P. Przewlocki219660
WSep 15 · 08:10K. Slawinski351311113P. Przewlocki2411580
WSep 14 · 14:20K. Slawinski51813118113P. Przewlocki51111191192
LSep 14 · 08:10K. Slawinski388111091P. Przewlocki3711312113
LAug 17 · 11:00K. Slawinski41121131142P. Przewlocki49148115113
K. Slawinski10
WOct 7 · 12:40K. Slawinski1.61111211113L. Oracz2.20914761LOct 7 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.67951191J. Pruszkowski2.1011113113LOct 7 · 10:10O. Vincenec2.20141110123K. Slawinski1.6112812101WOct 7 · 09:25K. Slawinski1.301111113P. Slosarczyk3.409990WOct 7 · 07:45K. Slawinski1.5312911113O. Vincenec2.381011851WOct 7 · 06:30K. Slawinski1.57111494113L. Oracz2.25612111152WOct 7 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.67101111113J. Pruszkowski2.10127991WOct 7 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.387611101K. Slawinski1.5311119123WOct 7 · 03:25K. Slawinski1.25119911113P. Slosarczyk3.7551111422LOct 5 · 14:20J. Badura2.20811116113K. Slawinski1.6111951192
P. Przewlocki10
WOct 7 · 13:05O. Vincenec1.7381191142P. Przewlocki2.00117118113WOct 7 · 12:15P. Przewlocki1.83611411113P. Slosarczyk1.8311611762WOct 7 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.0010101111113J. Pruszkowski1.3612127582LOct 7 · 09:50L. Oracz1.671119113P. Przewlocki2.1021730WOct 7 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.611316133P. Slosarczyk2.201114110WOct 7 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.911110116133O. Vincenec1.80712911112WOct 7 · 05:40P. Przewlocki2.00119117123L. Oracz1.73811711102LOct 7 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.387611101K. Slawinski1.5311119123LOct 7 · 03:00P. Przewlocki2.6361111662J. Pruszkowski1.44115911113WOct 6 · 13:55P. Brozek1.407880P. Przewlocki2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Slawinski
Oct 8 · 03:00K. Slawinski1.50J. Pelka2.50—Oct 8 · 04:30K. Slawinski1.40W. Urban2.75—Oct 8 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.50O. Sokolowski2.50—Oct 8 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.61S. Szostok2.20—Oct 8 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.61J. Pruszkowski2.20—Oct 8 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.40W. Urban2.75—Oct 8 · 10:35K. Slawinski1.50J. Pelka2.50—Oct 8 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.57O. Sokolowski2.25—Oct 8 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.61S. Szostok2.20—Oct 8 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.61J. Pruszkowski2.20—
P. Przewlocki
Nothing scheduled
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