TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Piotr Przewlocki 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117911118411
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOliver Vincenec above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Oliver Vincenec at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oliver Vincenec 17–15 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Przewlocki beat Vincenec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:0454.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vincenec
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Vincenec
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1331 vs Przewlocki 1376
Przewlocki
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Przewlocki 80%
Przewlocki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 30% vs Przewlocki 70%
Przewlocki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +2 · Przewlocki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vincenec) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.727 / Przewlocki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vincenec)-3.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13253706
Vincenec1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 135 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it86% 59 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it74% 95 of 129
Przewlocki2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back24% 54 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec4wins
AwayPrzewlocki6wins
8 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec60%3 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Vincenec6Przewlocki4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec6Przewlocki4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec3Przewlocki6n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5Vincenec3Przewlocki5n = 8Przewlocki took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecPrzewlockiV − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.943.5+1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime719 / 1571 vs 525 / 109345.8%48%719 / 1571 vs 525 / 1093Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.73/Przewlocki 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 06:55O. Vincenec50712911112P. Przewlocki511110116133
LOct 5 · 13:05O. Vincenec3841131282P. Przewlocki521191110113
WOct 5 · 06:55O. Vincenec40115112113P. Przewlocki4271151182
WSep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec551161413113P. Przewlocki53911121562
LSep 9 · 07:45O. Vincenec52117116172P. Przewlocki52311811193
WSep 2 · 09:00O. Vincenec331111113P. Przewlocki184590
WSep 2 · 04:30O. Vincenec51991111113P. Przewlocki3811114392
LJul 13 · 14:20O. Vincenec4711118892P. Przewlocki42631111113
LJul 13 · 08:10O. Vincenec4891111982P. Przewlocki44116511113
LJun 30 · 13:30O. Vincenec358115111P. Przewlocki4311811133
O. Vincenec10
WOct 7 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.7311125113L. Oracz2.006101171WOct 7 · 10:10O. Vincenec2.20141110123K. Slawinski1.6112812101LOct 7 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.6311114101J. Pruszkowski1.4413911123LOct 7 · 07:45K. Slawinski1.5312911113O. Vincenec2.381011851LOct 7 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.911110116133O. Vincenec1.80712911112LOct 7 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.576980P. Slosarczyk2.251111113WOct 7 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.501211133J. Pruszkowski1.50105110LOct 7 · 03:50L. Oracz2.001111113O. Vincenec1.739780LOct 6 · 08:20O. Vincenec1.98671461R. Idaczyk1.73111112113LOct 6 · 06:45R. Skotniczny2.24116117113O. Vincenec1.5981161182
P. Przewlocki10
WOct 7 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.57611681P. Przewlocki2.2511911113WOct 7 · 12:15P. Przewlocki1.83611411113P. Slosarczyk1.8311611762WOct 7 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.0010101111113J. Pruszkowski1.3612127582LOct 7 · 09:50L. Oracz1.671119113P. Przewlocki2.1021730WOct 7 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.611316133P. Slosarczyk2.201114110WOct 7 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.911110116133O. Vincenec1.80712911112WOct 7 · 05:40P. Przewlocki2.00119117123L. Oracz1.73811711102LOct 7 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.387611101K. Slawinski1.5311119123LOct 7 · 03:00P. Przewlocki2.6361111662J. Pruszkowski1.44115911113WOct 6 · 13:55P. Brozek1.407880P. Przewlocki2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
P. Przewlocki
Nothing scheduled
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