TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Pruszkowski vs Kacper Slawinski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71111810121012––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:09 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 60.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 28–33 Kacper Slawinski Jakub Pruszkowski has won 28 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:0960.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
28-33 in 61
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 5 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1373 vs Slawinski 1477
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 40% vs Slawinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Slawinski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +2 · Slawinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 2.20 / Slawinski 1.615
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Slawinski)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13258880
Pruszkowski2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 61 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Slawinski1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 163 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it99% 79 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 121 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski3wins
AwaySlawinski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski25%1 of 4
AwaySlawinski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski4Slawinski6n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S2Pruszkowski4Slawinski6n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S3Pruszkowski4Slawinski6n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S4Pruszkowski2Slawinski7n = 9Slawinski took 7 of 9
S5Pruszkowski2Slawinski1n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiSlawinskiP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.442.0−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1166 / 1848 vs 622 / 100063.1%62.2%1166 / 1848 vs 622 / 1000Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiPruszkowski 2.20/Slawinski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski3611113113K. Slawinski34951191
LOct 7 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski37127991K. Slawinski43101111113
LOct 5 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski4111511772K. Slawinski47511911113
LOct 5 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski34861191K. Slawinski4111118113
WSep 22 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski51911127123K. Slawinski441121011102
LSep 22 · 09:30J. Pruszkowski381281171K. Slawinski4314117113
LSep 8 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski388118111K. Slawinski4411911133
WSep 8 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski50711911123K. Slawinski43115116102
LAug 17 · 11:50J. Pruszkowski381110891K. Slawinski4391211113
LAug 17 · 03:50J. Pruszkowski3189140K. Slawinski381111163
J. Pruszkowski10
WOct 8 · 06:30O. Sokolowski2.63118111392J. Pruszkowski1.44911915113WOct 8 · 05:40J. Pelka2.25111294102J. Pruszkowski1.577101111123LOct 8 · 04:55J. Pruszkowski1.67491191S. Szostok2.1011118113LOct 8 · 03:50J. Pruszkowski1.737650W. Urban2.001111113LOct 7 · 14:20L. Oracz2.101111113J. Pruszkowski1.679890WOct 7 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk4.0011781152J. Pruszkowski1.22911116113WOct 7 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.67951191J. Pruszkowski2.1011113113LOct 7 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.0010101111113J. Pruszkowski1.3612127582WOct 7 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.6311114101J. Pruszkowski1.4413911123WOct 7 · 08:10L. Oracz2.20127471J. Pruszkowski1.61101111113
K. Slawinski10
WOct 8 · 09:00W. Urban2.751171171K. Slawinski1.4081113113LOct 8 · 07:20S. Szostok2.201215113K. Slawinski1.61101380WOct 8 · 05:15O. Sokolowski2.50412721K. Slawinski1.50111011113LOct 8 · 04:30W. Urban2.7571311113K. Slawinski1.401111961WOct 8 · 03:00J. Pelka2.756860K. Slawinski1.401111113LOct 7 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.57611681P. Przewlocki2.2511911113WOct 7 · 12:40K. Slawinski1.61111211113L. Oracz2.20914761LOct 7 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.67951191J. Pruszkowski2.1011113113LOct 7 · 10:10O. Vincenec2.20141110123K. Slawinski1.6112812101WOct 7 · 09:25K. Slawinski1.301111113P. Slosarczyk3.409990
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