TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Liska vs Ondrej Kaderabek 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81112101315711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Ondrej Kaderabek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 87 set 4, 7-11
87 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 14–17 Ondrej Kaderabek Tomas Liska has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Liska beat Kaderabek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.25 / Kaderabek 1.571
Setka Cup · #13248667
Liska2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Kaderabek1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 42 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska3wins
AwayKaderabek7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKaderabek leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska40%2 of 5
AwayKaderabek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska5Kaderabek5n = 10split evenly
S2Liska5Kaderabek5n = 10split evenly
S3Liska5Kaderabek5n = 10split evenly
S4Liska2Kaderabek5n = 7Kaderabek took 5 of 7
S5Liska2Kaderabek5n = 7Kaderabek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaKaderabekL − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.842.7+0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaKaderabekBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 865 vs 203 / 39546.4%51.4%401 / 865 vs 203 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KaderabekLiska 2.25/Kaderabek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Kaderabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 09:15T. Liska541211119113O. Kaderabek4414881132
LSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska5211101110102O. Kaderabek52712912123
LJun 15 · 05:15T. Liska4111781142O. Kaderabek42411115113
LJun 6 · 11:15T. Liska49811111092O. Kaderabek46113912113
WJun 3 · 08:48T. Liska341111123O. Kaderabek2129100
LJun 3 · 06:15T. Liska4791171372O. Kaderabek531191111113
LMay 9 · 09:03T. Liska2711970O. Kaderabek351311113
LMay 9 · 06:00T. Liska195860O. Kaderabek331111113
WApr 14 · 10:45T. Liska53171159113O. Kaderabek49154111182
LApr 13 · 15:00T. Liska52118131192O. Kaderabek526111113113
T. Liska10
WOct 5 · 11:45M. Makara1.83931171T. Liska1.8311116113WOct 5 · 10:45L. Rulc1.61117111182T. Liska2.20911913113WOct 5 · 09:15O. Kaderabek1.6714881132T. Liska2.101211119113LOct 4 · 20:19S. Rejent1.8311911113T. Liska1.83911771LOct 4 · 19:15T. Liska1.40111011882O. Mezera2.75512311113LOct 4 · 18:15T. Liska2.108660S. Rejent1.671111113LOct 4 · 17:15T. Liska2.2081191252L. Veigl1.611151110113WOct 2 · 16:15T. Liska1.581111133O. Mezera2.2547110LOct 2 · 15:45M. Makara1.831411113T. Liska1.8312870LOct 2 · 14:45O. Mezera2.501181110113T. Liska1.5081131272
O. Kaderabek10
WOct 5 · 11:15O. Kaderabek1.7311117113L. Rulc2.00741141WOct 5 · 10:15O. Kaderabek1.6741111113M. Makara2.10115781LOct 5 · 09:15O. Kaderabek1.6714881132T. Liska2.101211119113LOct 4 · 12:23M. Kocvara2.0011912113O. Kaderabek1.738111031WOct 4 · 11:15O. Kaderabek1.801011115113M. Kocvara1.9112441182LOct 4 · 10:15O. Kaderabek2.50410141192L. Heinzl1.501112125113WOct 4 · 09:15O. Kaderabek2.00121113113R. Pisa1.731431181LOct 2 · 08:23M. Vyskocil2.501111113O. Kaderabek1.509390LOct 2 · 07:15L. Adam2.00119117113O. Kaderabek1.7361171182LOct 2 · 06:45O. Kaderabek2.0011119972R. Pisa1.73991111113
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