TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Liska vs Stepan Rejent 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Stepan Rejent at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 49–71 Stepan Rejent Tomas Liska has won 49 of their 120 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:0954.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
49-71 in 120
Rejent
Correct
gap of 22 in 120, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Liska 1665 vs Rejent 1608
Liska
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Liska 40% vs Rejent 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Liska 50% vs Rejent 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Liska -1 · Rejent -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Rejent) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.10 / Rejent 1.666
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rejent)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240284
Liska2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Rejent1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 76 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 56 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska7wins
AwayRejent3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLiska leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska100%4 of 4
AwayRejent50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Liska7Rejent3n = 10Liska took 7 of 10
S3Liska3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S4Liska6Rejent3n = 9Liska took 6 of 9
S5Liska3Rejent0n = 3Liska took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaRejentL − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.3−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 859 vs 351 / 75546.3%46.5%398 / 859 vs 351 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RejentLiska 2.10/Rejent 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 16:48T. Liska4111117123S. Rejent388911101
WAug 10 · 15:45T. Liska42111136113S. Rejent4378111162
LAug 2 · 17:15T. Liska2711790S. Rejent351311113
WJul 9 · 14:45T. Liska4111811113S. Rejent38911991
LJun 20 · 18:00T. Liska31514661S. Rejent45111211113
WJun 18 · 19:45T. Liska4061111123S. Rejent361178101
LJun 11 · 16:28T. Liska36914581S. Rejent45111211113
WJun 11 · 14:30T. Liska531014711113S. Rejent50121211872
WJun 7 · 20:14T. Liska561110914123S. Rejent538121112102
WJun 7 · 19:15T. Liska4071111113S. Rejent30115681
T. Liska10
LOct 4 · 19:15T. Liska1.40111011882O. Mezera2.75512311113LOct 4 · 17:15T. Liska2.2081191252L. Veigl1.611151110113WOct 2 · 16:15T. Liska1.581111133O. Mezera2.2547110LOct 2 · 15:45M. Makara1.831411113T. Liska1.8312870LOct 2 · 14:45O. Mezera2.501181110113T. Liska1.5081131272WOct 2 · 13:15M. Vyskocil1.509118121T. Liska2.5011911143WOct 1 · 08:43T. Liska1.7371111123M. Ullman2.001176101WOct 1 · 07:45T. Liska1.5791111113J. Senk2.25113821LOct 1 · 06:15M. Vyskocil1.53101111113T. Liska2.38127861WOct 1 · 05:45M. Ullman1.9195100T. Liska1.801111123
S. Rejent10
LOct 4 · 17:45O. Mezera2.201211113S. Rejent1.6110990WSep 30 · 16:44L. Rulc1.80831141S. Rejent1.9111118113LSep 30 · 15:45S. Rejent2.206111111102L. Rulc1.61119135123LSep 30 · 14:15M. Myler2.00581111123S. Rejent1.73111168102WSep 30 · 13:45L. Heinzl1.50911129172S. Rejent2.501191011193LSep 28 · 16:54L. Heinzl1.5011811113S. Rejent2.50511981WSep 28 · 15:15S. Rejent1.731011811113M. Makara2.0012911862LSep 28 · 14:15S. Rejent2.63811101272L. Heinzl1.441171210113WSep 28 · 13:15S. Rejent1.7311711123A. Radkovsky2.008118101WSep 27 · 16:30S. Rejent2.02131111113L. Svoboda1.70159461
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.