Pavel Chovanec vs Radim Adam 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Oct 4Finished

Pavel Chovanec

Home

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1191191210––––

Radim Adam

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched: 55.5% is still 55.5%

Graded at full time

Pavel Chovanec to win

55.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPavel Chovanec above · Radim Adam below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 12-10

Point 62 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Pavel Chovanec at 55.5%

62 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:09

55.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 6.4pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Chovanec

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Chovanec 1484 vs Adam 1500

Adam

Wrong

both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Chovanec 40% vs Adam 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Chovanec 30% vs Adam 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Chovanec -1 · Adam +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Chovanec) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chovanec form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChovanec 1.615 / Adam 2.20

Signal prob.56% / 45%

Edge (Chovanec)-6.4pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13238637

Chovanec1.61

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite40% won 8 of 20

Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9

Adam2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog47% won 32 of 68

Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricChovanecAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 54 vs 204 / 39740.7%51.4%22 / 54 vs 204 / 397Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Chovanec

Chovanec 1.61/Adam 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.5%

Chovanec · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Chovanec won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Chovanec10