TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119961
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Chovanec
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119511611711
Oliver Hradil
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:05 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timePavel Chovanec to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Chovanec above · Oliver Hradil below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Chovanec at 63.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Chovanec 1–1 Oliver Hradil Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chovanec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chovanec 1497 vs Hradil 1474
Chovanec
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chovanec 60% vs Hradil 40%
Chovanec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chovanec 60% vs Hradil 40%
Chovanec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chovanec -1 · Hradil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chovanec) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChovanec 1.61 / Hradil 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Chovanec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119961
Chovanec1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite44% won 7 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Hradil2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChovanec1wins
AwayHradil1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChovanecHradilC − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match42.541.0+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChovanecHradilBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 46 vs 5 / 1843.5%27.8%20 / 46 vs 5 / 18Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChovanecChovanec 1.61/Hradil 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Chovanec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hradil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 13:30P. Chovanec47951111113O. Hradil4311117592
LSep 7 · 12:00P. Chovanec3812511101O. Hradil3914112123
P. Chovanec10
LSep 13 · 07:30A. Rinka1.801111113P. Chovanec1.918360WSep 7 · 13:30O. Hradil1.8311117592P. Chovanec1.83951111113LSep 7 · 12:00O. Hradil2.0014112123P. Chovanec1.7312511101WSep 7 · 11:00P. Osvald2.201188101P. Chovanec1.6191111123WSep 7 · 10:30P. Chovanec1.571111113M. Blejchar2.259330LJun 18 · 17:30J. Levicky1.7311212113P. Chovanec2.006111061WJun 18 · 16:00P. Danko1.831167111P. Chovanec1.8391111133LJun 18 · 15:00J. Levicky2.251111113P. Chovanec1.574860WJun 18 · 14:30P. Chovanec2.501411113V. Zidek1.5012780WJun 11 · 17:00P. Chovanec1.401111113D. Oborny2.757380
O. Hradil10
WSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113LSep 13 · 06:30O. Hradil2.3811147872A. Rinka1.533121111113LSep 7 · 16:59O. Hradil1.61111181192L. Velicka2.20138113113WSep 7 · 16:30L. Velicka1.618970O. Hradil2.201111113LSep 7 · 15:30O. Hradil2.25118131172R. Vavrecka1.579111113113LSep 7 · 14:30J. Levicky1.531111113O. Hradil2.389660LSep 7 · 13:30O. Hradil1.8311117592P. Chovanec1.83951111113WSep 7 · 12:00O. Hradil2.0014112123P. Chovanec1.7312511101LSep 7 · 11:30M. Blejchar1.91991111113O. Hradil1.8011118842WSep 7 · 10:00O. Hradil1.57115118113P. Osvald2.2591151182
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