TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ivo Taichman vs Radim Adam 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117116117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Radim Adam at 60.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 10–18 Radim Adam Ivo Taichman has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:5560.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Adam
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-18 in 28
Adam
Wrong
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1470 vs Adam 1535
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 40% vs Adam 80%
Adam
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 50% vs Adam 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -1 · Adam +4
Adam
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Adam) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 2.25 / Adam 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Adam)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222584
Taichman2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 69 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Adam1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman4wins
AwayAdam6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAdam leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman50%4 of 8
AwayAdamn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman8Adam2n = 10Taichman took 8 of 10
S2Taichman6Adam4n = 10Taichman took 6 of 10
S3Taichman3Adam7n = 10Adam took 7 of 10
S4Taichman0Adam7n = 7Adam took 7 of 7
S5Taichman2Adam2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanAdamT − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.340.5−2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 543 vs 201 / 38851.6%51.8%280 / 543 vs 201 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamTaichman 2.25/Adam 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 06:00I. Taichman351168101R. Adam4281111123
LAug 29 · 20:00I. Taichman371171091R. Adam4281112113
LAug 27 · 20:30I. Taichman35761571R. Adam46111113113
WAug 21 · 11:00I. Taichman50111369113R. Adam47511111192
WAug 20 · 08:58I. Taichman49121175143R. Adam501061111122
LAug 20 · 08:30I. Taichman3811117182R. Adam47951111113
WAug 7 · 21:00I. Taichman331111113R. Adam209740
LAug 7 · 19:00I. Taichman174940R. Adam331111113
WJul 1 · 17:30I. Taichman411515113R. Adam34131380
LJul 1 · 14:00I. Taichman48111161192R. Adam44541113113
I. Taichman10
LOct 1 · 18:00M. Blejchar1.531311143I. Taichman2.38115120WSep 29 · 21:00P. Hanel2.0066111192I. Taichman1.73111162113LSep 29 · 20:30I. Taichman2.50310100T. Milota1.501112123LSep 29 · 19:00I. Taichman2.20511771M. Kowolowski1.6111411113WSep 29 · 18:00P. Hanel1.91961161I. Taichman1.8011115113WSep 28 · 20:58I. Taichman1.831111153L. Jemelka1.8399130LSep 28 · 20:00I. Taichman2.25114761F. Zurek1.5761111113LSep 28 · 19:30T. Milota1.5381112113I. Taichman2.381141091WSep 28 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8311911113L. Jemelka1.83611931WSep 26 · 08:58I. Taichman1.2511911113D. Priesol3.75711891
R. Adam10
WOct 1 · 18:30R. Adam1.301091111113F. Zurek3.4012119512WSep 21 · 21:30R. Adam2.10911115113M. Blejchar1.6611961182WSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113WSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452LSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281LSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102
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