TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Adam vs Filip Zurek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012911119115111
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched: 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 90 set 5, 11-1 · our read held Radim Adam at 73.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 5–1 Filip Zurek Filip Zurek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2073.9%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 3.0pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Adam
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1525 vs Zurek 1496
Adam
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 60% vs Zurek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 50% vs Zurek 70%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +3 · Zurek -1
Adam
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Adam) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.30 / Zurek 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Adam)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222151
Adam1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Zurek3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 28)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 99 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back33% 38 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAdam5wins
AwayZurek1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderAdam leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam100%4 of 4
AwayZurekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam4Zurek2n = 6Adam took 4 of 6
S2Adam4Zurek2n = 6Adam took 4 of 6
S3Adam5Zurek1n = 6Adam took 5 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricAdamZurekA − ZBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.328.0+7.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 387 vs 320 / 62651.7%51.1%200 / 387 vs 320 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.30/Zurek 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 16 · 07:30R. Adam361114113F. Zurek2451270
WSep 13 · 13:07R. Adam331111113F. Zurek154560
LSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam229850F. Zurek331111113
WJul 25 · 20:30R. Adam3951112113F. Zurek371181081
WJul 22 · 19:30R. Adam49129116113F. Zurek42101121182
WJul 1 · 16:00R. Adam331111113F. Zurek177460
R. Adam10
LOct 1 · 19:00I. Taichman2.2571111113R. Adam1.57117671WSep 21 · 21:30R. Adam2.10911115113M. Blejchar1.6611961182WSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113WSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452LSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281LSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102
F. Zurek10
LSep 28 · 21:30T. Milota1.60911911113F. Zurek2.2011211522WSep 28 · 20:00I. Taichman2.25114761F. Zurek1.5761111113WSep 28 · 19:00L. Jemelka1.40118751F. Zurek2.7551111113LSep 28 · 18:30F. Zurek1.838960T. Milota1.831111113WSep 27 · 13:30F. Zurek1.7311114123T. Hrabec2.002711101WSep 27 · 12:00F. Zurek1.6111611113M. Jasek2.20511661WSep 27 · 11:30D. Priesol1.5311911862F. Zurek2.38111511113LSep 27 · 10:00F. Zurek1.6111811882T. Hrabec2.20811411113WSep 26 · 09:30R. Guliak2.2511611462F. Zurek1.57511811113WSep 26 · 08:00I. Taichman2.2011561172F. Zurek1.61511118113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.