TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Filip Zurek vs Tomas Hrabec 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118811114811811
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Tomas Hrabec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 7–6 Tomas Hrabec Tomas Hrabec has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1494 vs Hrabec 1400
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Hrabec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Hrabec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +3 · Hrabec -1
Zurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.61 / Hrabec 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zurek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199109
Zurek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 26)
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 84 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it73% 63 of 86
Hrabec2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back45% 9 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek6wins
AwayHrabec4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek75%6 of 8
AwayHrabecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek8Hrabec2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S2Zurek3Hrabec7n = 10Hrabec took 7 of 10
S3Zurek8Hrabec2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S4Zurek3Hrabec3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekHrabecZ − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.330.5+4.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 619 vs 121 / 22850.9%53.1%315 / 619 vs 121 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.61/Hrabec 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek4211510161T. Hrabec4541112183
WAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek331111113T. Hrabec143830
WAug 29 · 08:00F. Zurek4211911113T. Hrabec27311671
WAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek4211911113T. Hrabec34711971
WAug 22 · 08:58F. Zurek361411113T. Hrabec1712320
LAug 22 · 08:00F. Zurek25811151T. Hrabec3611113113
WJun 26 · 17:00F. Zurek331111113T. Hrabec219750
WJun 26 · 16:00F. Zurek3911611113T. Hrabec31611771
LApr 19 · 17:30F. Zurek218670T. Hrabec331111113
LApr 19 · 14:30F. Zurek4011711832T. Hrabec47611811113
F. Zurek10
WSep 26 · 09:30R. Guliak2.2511611462F. Zurek1.57511811113WSep 26 · 08:00I. Taichman2.2011561172F. Zurek1.61511118113WSep 26 · 07:00R. Guliak2.009960F. Zurek1.731111113LSep 26 · 06:30F. Zurek2.1010680D. Priesol1.671211113LSep 21 · 13:30M. Koral1.431111123F. Zurek2.6099100WSep 21 · 12:30F. Zurek1.5011711113P. Varecha2.50911381WSep 21 · 11:00F. Zurek1.831111113I. Taichman1.836940LSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral1.44611114113F. Zurek2.6311841172WSep 17 · 13:09F. Zurek2.25311911113E. Sionkala1.5511711972LSep 17 · 12:30F. Zurek1.7369131192M. Kolek2.001111119113
T. Hrabec10
LSep 13 · 13:30T. Hrabec1.55101271352D. Priesol2.3512101111113WSep 13 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.801111123Z. Zientek1.9168100WSep 13 · 11:00T. Hrabec1.5311115113D. Priesol2.38691191WSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113
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