TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ivo Taichman vs Libor Jemelka 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911119113––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Jemelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Libor Jemelka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Libor Jemelka at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 4–5 Libor Jemelka Ivo Taichman has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jemelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1486 vs Jemelka 1454
Taichman
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 60% vs Jemelka 80%
Jemelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 50% vs Jemelka 80%
Jemelka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman +1 · Jemelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jemelka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jemelka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.83 / Jemelka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jemelka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206164
Taichman1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 26)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Jemelka1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 43 days ago (Aug 16) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTaichman4wins
AwayJemelka5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderJemelka leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman50%2 of 4
AwayJemelka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman4Jemelka5n = 9Jemelka took 5 of 9
S2Taichman3Jemelka6n = 9Jemelka took 6 of 9
S3Taichman3Jemelka6n = 9Jemelka took 6 of 9
S4Taichman4Jemelka4n = 8split evenly
S5Taichman3Jemelka1n = 4Taichman took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricTaichmanJemelkaT − JBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match39.742.8−3.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanJemelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 534 vs 35 / 8051.7%43.8%276 / 534 vs 35 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JemelkaTaichman 1.83/Jemelka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jemelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 8 · 20:30I. Taichman4211119113L. Jemelka30551191
WJul 6 · 14:00I. Taichman48111193143L. Jemelka48861111122
LJul 4 · 20:58I. Taichman30117751L. Jemelka4291111113
LJul 4 · 20:30I. Taichman219570L. Jemelka331111113
LJul 3 · 21:30I. Taichman31311981L. Jemelka4011711113
LJul 3 · 18:00I. Taichman33167551L. Jemelka47141111113
WJun 28 · 07:00I. Taichman52791113123L. Jemelka501111711102
LJun 21 · 09:00I. Taichman4779111192L. Jemelka41111135113
WJun 21 · 08:00I. Taichman53581111183L. Jemelka54111179162
I. Taichman10
WSep 26 · 08:58I. Taichman1.2511911113D. Priesol3.75711891LSep 26 · 08:00I. Taichman2.2011561172F. Zurek1.61511118113WSep 26 · 07:30D. Priesol3.4013760I. Taichman1.301511113LSep 26 · 06:00I. Taichman1.671171041R. Guliak2.1051112113WSep 25 · 13:00P. Smetka2.004590I. Taichman1.731111113WSep 25 · 12:00I. Taichman1.9111511113P. Smetka1.80911701LSep 25 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.67111411113I. Taichman2.10516881LSep 25 · 10:00I. Taichman2.001051171M. Koral1.7312117113WSep 24 · 12:59T. Milkov1.83119391I. Taichman1.8361111113LSep 24 · 12:30I. Taichman1.7311090T. Milkov2.001112113
L. Jemelka10
WAug 16 · 09:29R. Guliak1.734480L. Jemelka2.001111113LAug 16 · 08:00L. Jemelka2.201176111R. Guliak1.6161111133WAug 16 · 07:30D. Priesol2.631110771L. Jemelka1.4471211113WAug 16 · 06:00L. Jemelka1.731113113M. Jasek2.0071180WAug 14 · 21:30L. Jemelka1.801113113D. Mikula1.9131180WAug 14 · 20:30L. Jemelka2.10111366113R. Guliak1.67411111162WAug 14 · 19:00L. Jemelka1.83117118113D. Mikula1.8391171152WAug 14 · 18:00V. Cerny1.831271091L. Jemelka1.83101112113WJul 25 · 17:00L. Jemelka1.571111113F. Zurek2.257810LJul 25 · 16:30R. Guliak2.201113113L. Jemelka1.6181170
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