TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Milota vs Ivo Taichman 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111141210119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Milota to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Tomas Milota at 58.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 4–1 Ivo Taichman Ivo Taichman has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Milota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Milota
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1414 vs Taichman 1497
Taichman
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 20% vs Taichman 60%
Taichman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 20% vs Taichman 60%
Taichman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota +1 · Taichman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Milota) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 1.53 / Taichman 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Milota)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13207243
Milota1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 23 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it62% 16 of 26
Taichman2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 69 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMilota4wins
AwayTaichman1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMilota leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilota75%3 of 4
AwayTaichmann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota4Taichman1n = 5Milota took 4 of 5
S2Milota4Taichman1n = 5Milota took 4 of 5
S3Milota3Taichman2n = 5Milota took 3 of 5
S4Milota2Taichman1n = 3Milota took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMilotaTaichmanM − TBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match39.034.2+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 270 vs 277 / 53544.8%51.8%121 / 270 vs 277 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilotaMilota 1.53/Taichman 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Milota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Milota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 20 · 06:30T. Milota4111118113I. Taichman33891151
WJun 19 · 16:30T. Milota331111113I. Taichman239680
WJun 11 · 20:30T. Milota3731111123I. Taichman371197101
LApr 13 · 07:30T. Milota45115111082I. Taichman44511512113
T. Milota10
WSep 28 · 18:30F. Zurek1.838960T. Milota1.831111113LSep 24 · 08:58P. Osvald1.731111113T. Milota2.006910LSep 24 · 08:30P. Osvald2.501111123T. Milota1.5074100LSep 24 · 07:30T. Milota1.57117571M. Blejchar2.2591111113LSep 24 · 06:30M. Koral1.531111113T. Milota2.384690LSep 21 · 21:00J. Hrabec1.5311811113T. Milota2.38311671LSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113LSep 21 · 19:00T. Milota1.44911371M. Blejchar2.6311911113WSep 21 · 18:00J. Hrabec1.50811111482T. Milota2.501113412113LSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171
I. Taichman10
WSep 28 · 18:00I. Taichman1.8311911113L. Jemelka1.83611931WSep 26 · 08:58I. Taichman1.2511911113D. Priesol3.75711891LSep 26 · 08:00I. Taichman2.2011561172F. Zurek1.61511118113WSep 26 · 07:30D. Priesol3.4013760I. Taichman1.301511113LSep 26 · 06:00I. Taichman1.671171041R. Guliak2.1051112113WSep 25 · 13:00P. Smetka2.004590I. Taichman1.731111113WSep 25 · 12:00I. Taichman1.9111511113P. Smetka1.80911701LSep 25 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.67111411113I. Taichman2.10516881LSep 25 · 10:00I. Taichman2.001051171M. Koral1.7312117113WSep 24 · 12:59T. Milkov1.83119391I. Taichman1.8361111113
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