TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Adam vs Miroslav Kowolowski 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118115––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched: 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Miroslav Kowolowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Radim Adam at 68.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 3–0 Miroslav Kowolowski Miroslav Kowolowski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:5468.7%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
short by 6.3pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Adam
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1508 vs Kowolowski 1487
Adam
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 40% vs Kowolowski 60%
Kowolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 50% vs Kowolowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +1 · Kowolowski +3
Kowolowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Adam) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowolowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.333 / Kowolowski 3.25
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Adam)-6.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233285
Adam1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 56 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Kowolowski3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 33 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdam3wins
AwayKowolowski0wins
Adam leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam100%3 of 3
AwayKowolowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam3Kowolowski0n = 3Adam took 3 of 3
S2Adam3Kowolowski0n = 3Adam took 3 of 3
S3Adam2Kowolowski1n = 3Adam took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamKowolowskiA − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.321.0+12.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamKowolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 392 vs 169 / 30451.5%55.6%202 / 392 vs 169 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.33/Kowolowski 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 21 · 13:00R. Adam331111113M. Kowolowski158340
WAug 21 · 12:00R. Adam3411111113M. Kowolowski31681161
WMay 6 · 19:30R. Adam331111113M. Kowolowski177370
R. Adam10
LOct 3 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5011116143R. Adam1.286911121WOct 3 · 14:00R. Adam1.501112810113R. Guliak2.50610111292LOct 1 · 20:58R. Adam1.6791111892I. Taichman2.10116611113LOct 1 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.7311711113R. Adam2.00511511LOct 1 · 19:00I. Taichman2.2571111113R. Adam1.57117671WOct 1 · 18:30R. Adam1.301091111113F. Zurek3.4012119512WSep 21 · 21:30R. Adam2.10911115113M. Blejchar1.6611961182WSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113WSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452
M. Kowolowski10
WOct 3 · 15:00R. Guliak2.201311311102M. Kowolowski1.61157119123WOct 3 · 14:30M. Kowolowski1.831311113V. Bosak1.8311650WOct 3 · 12:58M. Kowolowski3.001111113P. Hanel1.367700LOct 3 · 12:30P. Hanel1.4461211113M. Kowolowski2.631110951LOct 3 · 11:30M. Kowolowski3.001171341P. Osvald1.36131111113WOct 3 · 10:30P. Bajtek1.831011731M. Kowolowski1.8312911113LSep 29 · 21:30T. Milota2.1081111113M. Kowolowski1.67111521LSep 29 · 20:00P. Hanel1.831111123M. Kowolowski1.8394100WSep 29 · 19:00I. Taichman2.20511771M. Kowolowski1.6111411113WSep 29 · 18:30M. Kowolowski1.8311115113T. Milota1.83391161
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