TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Blejchar vs Radim Adam 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115711115111––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Marek Blejchar @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 62 set 4, 11-1 · our read held Marek Blejchar at 54.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 39–26 Radim Adam Radim Adam has won 26 of their 65 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:5954.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
39-26 in 65
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 13 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1551 vs Adam 1521
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 100% vs Adam 80%
Blejchar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 50% vs Adam 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +5 · Adam -1
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Blejchar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.727 / Adam 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Blejchar)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222649
Blejchar1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 98 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it84% 66 of 79
Adam2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar7wins
AwayAdam3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar66.7%6 of 9
AwayAdamn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar9Adam1n = 10Blejchar took 9 of 10
S2Blejchar5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S3Blejchar5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S4Blejchar6Adam1n = 7Blejchar took 6 of 7
S5Blejchar1Adam2n = 3Adam took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharAdamB − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.535.8+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 636 vs 201 / 38948.9%51.7%311 / 636 vs 201 / 389Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.73/Adam 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Marek Blejchar @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–1
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 21:30M. Blejchar4511961182R. Adam47911115113
WSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar511181011113R. Adam4081112452
WSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar4591114113R. Adam381171281
WSep 20 · 11:00M. Blejchar4011126113R. Adam306101131
WSep 13 · 11:00M. Blejchar341111123R. Adam2477100
WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar401213153R. Adam341011130
LSep 9 · 20:00M. Blejchar32117861R. Adam3851111113
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar50118811122R. Adam48711115143
WSep 6 · 16:00M. Blejchar4412912113R. Adam3610111051
WAug 22 · 15:30M. Blejchar341112113R. Adam2371060
M. Blejchar10
WOct 1 · 19:30F. Zurek2.637111161M. Blejchar1.4411137113WOct 1 · 18:00M. Blejchar1.531311143I. Taichman2.38115120WSep 29 · 08:59M. Blejchar1.8351113113M. Koral1.831191151WSep 29 · 08:30M. Koral1.91111411872M. Blejchar1.801312611113WSep 29 · 07:30M. Blejchar2.63511711113D. Machander1.4411811982LSep 29 · 06:30M. Volny1.331111113M. Blejchar3.257450LSep 27 · 13:06P. Bajtek1.40111111143M. Blejchar2.659813121LSep 27 · 12:00P. Osvald1.8012711113M. Blejchar1.911011251LSep 27 · 11:00P. Bajtek1.441111113M. Blejchar2.635870LSep 27 · 10:30M. Blejchar2.50811891M. Kowolowski1.5011811113
R. Adam10
LOct 1 · 19:00I. Taichman2.2571111113R. Adam1.57117671WOct 1 · 18:30R. Adam1.301091111113F. Zurek3.4012119512WSep 21 · 21:30R. Adam2.10911115113M. Blejchar1.6611961182WSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113WSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452LSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281LSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113
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