TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Bajtek vs Marek Blejchar 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Pavel Bajtek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:45 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timePavel Bajtek to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Bajtek above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Pavel Bajtek at 66.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Bajtek 6–1 Marek Blejchar Marek Blejchar has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bajtek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Bajtek
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bajtek 1520 vs Blejchar 1543
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bajtek 40% vs Blejchar 20%
Bajtek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bajtek 60% vs Blejchar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bajtek -3 · Blejchar -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Bajtek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBajtek 1.44 / Blejchar 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Bajtek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200468
Bajtek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 10 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Blejchar2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBajtek6wins
AwayBlejchar1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBajtek leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBajtek100%6 of 6
AwayBlejcharn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bajtek6Blejchar1n = 7Bajtek took 6 of 7
S2Bajtek5Blejchar2n = 7Bajtek took 5 of 7
S3Bajtek3Blejchar4n = 7Blejchar took 4 of 7
S4Bajtek5Blejchar1n = 6Bajtek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBajtekBlejcharBajtek − BlejcharBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match41.635.0+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBajtekBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 46 vs 313 / 63843.5%49.1%20 / 46 vs 313 / 638Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BajtekBajtek 1.44/Blejchar 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Bajtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bajtek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 26 · 07:00P. Bajtek4011117113M. Blejchar24661111
LAug 30 · 07:30P. Bajtek46581111112M. Blejchar49111177133
WAug 22 · 17:30P. Bajtek4211119113M. Blejchar28541181
WAug 22 · 15:30P. Bajtek48117118113M. Blejchar4451191182
WAug 21 · 08:30P. Bajtek3511112113M. Blejchar32791151
WJul 6 · 09:30P. Bajtek351111133M. Blejchar2898110
WJul 6 · 08:00P. Bajtek4513119123M. Blejchar4011811101
P. Bajtek10
LSep 27 · 10:00P. Osvald1.83111211113P. Bajtek1.83814561LJul 26 · 09:30D. Langer1.5011117113P. Bajtek2.50741171LJul 26 · 08:00D. Langer1.831211113P. Bajtek1.8310990WJul 26 · 07:00M. Blejchar2.50661111P. Bajtek1.5011117113WJul 26 · 06:30P. Bajtek1.611111113I. Taichman2.206890WJul 18 · 13:30P. Bajtek1.8015127113L. Jemelka1.9013101171WJul 18 · 12:00D. Langer1.611166101P. Bajtek2.2061111123WJul 18 · 11:00V. Bosak2.103711111P. Bajtek1.6711118133LJul 18 · 10:30P. Bajtek1.61951381L. Jemelka2.20111111113WJul 12 · 09:28P. Bajtek1.5011118113T. Milkov2.50971141
M. Blejchar10
LSep 27 · 12:00P. Osvald1.8012711113M. Blejchar1.911011251LSep 27 · 10:30M. Blejchar2.50811891M. Kowolowski1.5011811113LSep 27 · 09:00L. Velicka1.9111611113M. Blejchar1.80511581LSep 27 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.83136791O. Hradil1.83111111113LSep 27 · 07:30J. Hrabec1.401112113M. Blejchar2.7521030WSep 27 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.83771611123L. Velicka1.831111148102WSep 24 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.337850M. Blejchar3.251111113WSep 24 · 20:30L. Velicka1.73211791M. Blejchar2.0011511113WSep 24 · 19:30M. Blejchar2.501111113R. Vavrecka1.505680LJul 26 · 07:00M. Blejchar2.50661111P. Bajtek1.5011117113
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