TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Blejchar vs Lukas Velicka 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71171116141181210
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 107 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 63.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 11–7 Lukas Velicka Lukas Velicka has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Velicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1602 vs Velicka 1464
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 80% vs Velicka 20%
Blejchar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 60% vs Velicka 30%
Blejchar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +3 · Velicka -2
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.83 / Velicka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Blejchar)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199232
Blejchar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 24)
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Velicka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar7wins
AwayVelicka3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejcharn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVelicka37.5%3 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar2Velicka8n = 10Velicka took 8 of 10
S2Blejchar5Velicka5n = 10split evenly
S3Blejchar9Velicka1n = 10Blejchar took 9 of 10
S4Blejchar6Velicka4n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S5Blejchar4Velicka2n = 6Blejchar took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharVelickaB − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match45.640.9+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 634 vs 113 / 22449.4%50.5%313 / 634 vs 113 / 224Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.83/Velicka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 06:00M. Blejchar53771611123L. Velicka541111148102
WSep 24 · 20:30M. Blejchar3811511113L. Velicka29211791
WSep 11 · 21:29M. Blejchar558111114113L. Velicka4711471692
LSep 11 · 18:00M. Blejchar29711741L. Velicka4111811113
LAug 30 · 20:00M. Blejchar46591111102L. Velicka47111167123
WJul 7 · 21:00M. Blejchar4981117133L. Velicka4411715111
LJul 7 · 18:30M. Blejchar49111111882L. Velicka51137911113
WJun 28 · 21:30M. Blejchar47951111113L. Velicka3311113442
WJun 28 · 20:00M. Blejchar496111110113L. Velicka3911461262
WJun 7 · 20:00M. Blejchar4111811113L. Velicka24311461
M. Blejchar10
WSep 24 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.337850M. Blejchar3.251111113WSep 24 · 20:30L. Velicka1.73211791M. Blejchar2.0011511113WSep 24 · 19:30M. Blejchar2.501111113R. Vavrecka1.505680LSep 24 · 18:30V. Adamczyk1.401111113M. Blejchar2.756670WSep 24 · 09:29M. Koral1.834116121M. Blejchar1.8311911143LSep 24 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.61981161M. Koral2.2011118113WSep 24 · 07:30T. Milota1.57117571M. Blejchar2.2591111113WSep 24 · 06:00M. Blejchar2.00911117113P. Osvald1.7311561172LSep 21 · 21:30R. Adam2.10911115113M. Blejchar1.6611961182LSep 21 · 20:00J. Hrabec1.4071111113M. Blejchar2.75119581
L. Velicka10
LSep 27 · 07:00L. Velicka1.91123991O. Hradil1.80101111113LSep 26 · 09:00V. Adamczyk1.44913118113L. Velicka2.63111151182LSep 26 · 08:30D. Machander1.531115113L. Velicka2.3881350WSep 26 · 07:30L. Velicka2.63812611113V. Adamczyk1.44111011892LSep 26 · 06:30P. Slavik1.611111113L. Velicka2.202790LSep 24 · 20:59L. Velicka2.201110861R. Vavrecka1.6191211113LSep 24 · 20:30L. Velicka1.73211791M. Blejchar2.0011511113WSep 24 · 19:00L. Velicka3.25881111123V. Adamczyk1.33111156102LSep 24 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.911511113L. Velicka1.8013470LSep 23 · 17:28L. Velicka2.208101171D. Machander1.6111127113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.