TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalimil Machander vs Lukas Velicka 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181513115––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:18 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeDalimil Machander to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 63 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dalimil Machander at 63.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 2–0 Lukas Velicka Lukas Velicka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Machander
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Machander 1519 vs Velicka 1500
Machander
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 40% vs Velicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 50% vs Velicka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -2 · Velicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Machander) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.53 / Velicka 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Machander)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13194427
Machander1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Velicka2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 28 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMachander2wins
AwayVelicka0wins
Machander leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMachanderVelickaM − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.535.5+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 384 vs 113 / 22045.8%51.4%176 / 384 vs 113 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderMachander 1.53/Velicka 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 17:28D. Machander4111127113L. Velicka368101171
WSep 23 · 14:30D. Machander44111111113L. Velicka35136971
D. Machander10
LSep 26 · 07:00D. Machander1.83711761P. Slavik1.8311611113LSep 26 · 06:00V. Adamczyk2.00114611113D. Machander1.7361111882WSep 25 · 08:58D. Machander2.10119211113D. Oborny1.6741111482WSep 25 · 08:30D. Oborny1.618790D. Machander2.201111113LSep 25 · 07:30D. Machander2.006411131J. Cabak1.7311118153LSep 25 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.9141111113D. Machander1.80115761WSep 23 · 17:28L. Velicka2.208101171D. Machander1.6111127113LSep 23 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.8071112113D. Machander1.911151091WSep 23 · 15:00P. Smetka2.10871161D. Machander1.6711114113WSep 23 · 14:30D. Machander1.80111111113L. Velicka1.91136971
L. Velicka10
LSep 26 · 09:00V. Adamczyk1.44913118113L. Velicka2.63111151182WSep 26 · 07:30L. Velicka2.63812611113V. Adamczyk1.44111011892LSep 26 · 06:30P. Slavik1.611111113L. Velicka2.202790LSep 24 · 20:59L. Velicka2.201110861R. Vavrecka1.6191211113LSep 24 · 20:30L. Velicka1.73211791M. Blejchar2.0011511113WSep 24 · 19:00L. Velicka3.25881111123V. Adamczyk1.33111156102LSep 24 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.911511113L. Velicka1.8013470LSep 23 · 17:28L. Velicka2.208101171D. Machander1.6111127113WSep 23 · 16:30P. Smetka1.73116791L. Velicka2.0091111113LSep 23 · 14:30D. Machander1.80111111113L. Velicka1.91136971
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