TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ondrej Kaderabek vs Marek Vyskocil 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711171514121210––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:41 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kaderabek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Marek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 98 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Ondrej Kaderabek at 60.1%
98 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 4–1 Marek Vyskocil Marek Vyskocil has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:4160.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kaderabek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Kaderabek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaderabek 1682 vs Vyskocil 1676
Kaderabek
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaderabek 40% vs Vyskocil 60%
Vyskocil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaderabek 40% vs Vyskocil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaderabek +1 · Vyskocil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Kaderabek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 1.571 / Vyskocil 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kaderabek)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13228936
Kaderabek1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 11 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Vyskocil2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKaderabek4wins
AwayVyskocil1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKaderabek leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaderabek100%3 of 3
AwayVyskociln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaderabek3Vyskocil2n = 5Kaderabek took 3 of 5
S2Kaderabek2Vyskocil3n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
S3Kaderabek4Vyskocil1n = 5Kaderabek took 4 of 5
S4Kaderabek2Vyskocil1n = 3Kaderabek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKaderabekVyskocilK − VBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.633.8+3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 392 vs 226 / 42051.3%53.8%201 / 392 vs 226 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KaderabekKaderabek 1.57/Vyskocil 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kaderabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaderabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJan 21 · 10:15O. Kaderabek27101160M. Vyskocil361213113
WJan 20 · 13:20O. Kaderabek3951112113M. Vyskocil371181081
WJan 20 · 10:45O. Kaderabek341112113M. Vyskocil2491050
WJan 13 · 13:45O. Kaderabek47115119113M. Vyskocil4261161182
WJan 13 · 12:45O. Kaderabek4111811113M. Vyskocil30811561
O. Kaderabek10
WSep 21 · 08:18L. Svoboda2.2513711752O. Kaderabek1.571111611113LSep 21 · 07:15P. Wasik1.4411119113O. Kaderabek2.63271141WSep 21 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.6111119113L. Svoboda2.20961171LSep 21 · 05:45O. Kaderabek1.73711281V. Burylov2.0011611113LSep 20 · 12:14M. Makara2.0261111113O. Kaderabek1.70117371LSep 20 · 11:15M. Zelinka1.6111611113O. Kaderabek2.20711591WSep 20 · 10:45O. Kaderabek1.6751111123M. Makara2.101188101LSep 20 · 09:45O. Kaderabek1.91911941R. Pisa1.8011911113LSep 17 · 12:48O. Kaderabek1.6111711852L. Svoboda2.20811611113WSep 17 · 11:45O. Kaderabek1.61611118113M. Makara2.2011691172
M. Vyskocil10
LOct 2 · 06:15L. Adam1.401114118113M. Vyskocil2.7551691182LOct 1 · 16:43M. Vyskocil1.671511581L. Rulc2.1017811113WOct 1 · 15:45L. Rulc1.57811871M. Vyskocil2.2511911113LOct 1 · 14:45J. Krames Sr1.5011117113M. Vyskocil2.50371171WOct 1 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2047111192M. Vyskocil1.61111158113WOct 1 · 08:14J. Senk1.8311711822M. Vyskocil1.83911711113LOct 1 · 07:15M. Vyskocil1.80811861M. Ullman1.9111711113WOct 1 · 06:15M. Vyskocil1.53101111113T. Liska2.38127861LOct 1 · 05:15M. Vyskocil1.8399111132J. Senk1.83111148113LSep 24 · 16:24O. Mezera2.2011911123M. Vyskocil1.617113101
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.