TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Krames Sr vs Marek Vyskocil 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113117711117––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Marek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Jan Krames Sr at 65.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 1–1 Marek Vyskocil Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:4065.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krames Sr
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krames Sr 1768 vs Vyskocil 1687
Krames Sr
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krames Sr 60% vs Vyskocil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krames Sr 50% vs Vyskocil 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krames Sr -1 · Vyskocil +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Krames Sr) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrames Sr 1.50 / Vyskocil 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Krames Sr)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13224014
Krames Sr1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 115 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it88% 66 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 128
Vyskocil2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 25 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back32% 9 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrames Sr1wins
AwayVyskocil1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrames SrVyskocilK − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match46.543.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrames SrVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 701 vs 225 / 41755.9%54%392 / 701 vs 225 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.740.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
Krames SrKrames Sr 1.50/Vyskocil 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Krames Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krames Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 13 · 18:15J. Krames Sr47121110141M. Vyskocil4814612163
WAug 3 · 15:15J. Krames Sr4681611113M. Vyskocil391114771
J. Krames Sr10
LOct 1 · 15:15O. Mezera4.00411148113J. Krames Sr1.22118121192LOct 1 · 13:45J. Krames Sr1.6111711982L. Rulc2.20611711113WSep 29 · 16:18J. Krames Sr1.401311113M. Kocvara2.7511550LSep 29 · 15:15M. Kocvara2.7512149113J. Krames Sr1.4010121191WSep 29 · 14:45J. Krames Sr1.2811611113O. Mezera3.50711391WSep 29 · 13:45J. Krames Sr2.2012711123L. Heinzl1.6110113101LSep 28 · 12:18J. Krames Sr1.7311711111L. Veigl2.0091113133LSep 28 · 11:45M. Zelinka1.8311811113J. Krames Sr1.83811791WSep 28 · 10:45L. Veigl2.101881151J. Krames Sr1.6720116113LSep 28 · 09:15D. Gasparovic1.731111113J. Krames Sr2.007880
M. Vyskocil10
WOct 1 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2047111192M. Vyskocil1.61111158113WOct 1 · 08:14J. Senk1.8311711822M. Vyskocil1.83911711113LOct 1 · 07:15M. Vyskocil1.80811861M. Ullman1.9111711113WOct 1 · 06:15M. Vyskocil1.53101111113T. Liska2.38127861LOct 1 · 05:15M. Vyskocil1.8399111132J. Senk1.83111148113LSep 24 · 16:24O. Mezera2.2011911123M. Vyskocil1.617113101WSep 24 · 15:15M. Vyskocil1.57111111113O. Mezera2.25713691LSep 24 · 14:15M. Vyskocil1.801111681M. Kocvara1.9113411113LSep 24 · 13:15M. Vyskocil2.631171111102L. Veigl1.44411138123WSep 15 · 12:13J. Dolezal1.836540M. Vyskocil1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Krames Sr
Nothing scheduled
M. Vyskocil
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