TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Marek Vyskocil vs Ondrej Mezera 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171113116119––
Ondrej Mezera
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:12 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 62.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 42–33 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 33 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-33 in 75
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 9 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1692 vs Mezera 1575
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 40% vs Mezera 60%
Mezera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 50% vs Mezera 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -2 · Mezera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mezera form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.57 / Mezera 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vyskocil)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13186230
Vyskocil1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 61 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it73% 44 of 60
Mezera2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 112 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back32% 47 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back19% 14 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil5wins
AwayMezera5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil50%2 of 4
AwayMezera50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil4Mezera6n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S2Vyskocil5Mezera5n = 10split evenly
S3Vyskocil7Mezera3n = 10Vyskocil took 7 of 10
S4Vyskocil3Mezera5n = 8Mezera took 5 of 8
S5Vyskocil3Mezera2n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilMezeraV − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.643.8−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 414 vs 396 / 80653.9%49.1%223 / 414 vs 396 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.540.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.57/Mezera 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 24 · 14:45M. Vyskocil27731161O. Mezera4211119113
WAug 17 · 15:15M. Vyskocil351113113O. Mezera2991190
WAug 14 · 17:15M. Vyskocil541211911113O. Mezera50101311792
LJul 30 · 08:18M. Vyskocil4411119762O. Mezera48691111113
LJul 23 · 13:45M. Vyskocil2581070O. Mezera341112113
WJun 26 · 13:15M. Vyskocil521211116123O. Mezera50146911102
WJun 11 · 14:15M. Vyskocil54861514113O. Mezera551111131282
WMay 28 · 12:59M. Vyskocil48141111123O. Mezera371665101
LMay 28 · 10:45M. Vyskocil4411511982O. Mezera49811811113
M. Vyskocil10
LSep 24 · 16:24O. Mezera2.2011911123M. Vyskocil1.617113101LSep 24 · 14:15M. Vyskocil1.801111681M. Kocvara1.9113411113LSep 24 · 13:15M. Vyskocil2.631171111102L. Veigl1.44411138123WSep 15 · 12:13J. Dolezal1.836540M. Vyskocil1.831111113LSep 15 · 11:15M. Vyskocil1.831181011122J. Dolezal1.83711127143WSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861WSep 15 · 09:15M. Vyskocil1.911112113M. Kocvara1.8081090LSep 14 · 08:53M. Vyskocil2.205790L. Dobias1.611111113LSep 14 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7310111011113M. Vyskocil2.0012812572WSep 14 · 06:45T. Liska2.009680M. Vyskocil1.731111113
O. Mezera10
WSep 24 · 16:24O. Mezera2.2011911123M. Vyskocil1.617113101LSep 24 · 14:45O. Mezera2.25911101142L. Veigl1.57119125113LSep 24 · 13:45O. Mezera2.256111191M. Kocvara1.5711136113LSep 23 · 16:43S. Rejent1.53111111123O. Mezera2.387134101WSep 23 · 15:15O. Mezera3.75611811153L. Rulc1.25118118132WSep 23 · 14:15O. Mezera2.10111211143M. Myler1.679147121WSep 23 · 13:15O. Mezera1.91116511113S. Rejent1.8071111982LSep 22 · 16:19O. Mezera2.38814711112L. Veigl1.531112118133WSep 22 · 15:15L. Veigl1.5311117972O. Mezera2.38681111113LSep 22 · 14:45O. Mezera2.0071181172M. Myler1.73118118113
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