TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Zelezny vs Lukas Jirka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1195119111141210
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Lukas Jirka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 93 set 5, 12-10
93 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 3–4 Lukas Jirka Daniel Zelezny has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Jirka beat Zelezny 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 1.61 / Jirka 2.20
TT Cup · #13218321
Zelezny1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 29 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Jirka2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 17 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZelezny3wins
AwayJirka4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderJirka leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeleznyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJirka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezny2Jirka5n = 7Jirka took 5 of 7
S2Zelezny4Jirka3n = 7Zelezny took 4 of 7
S3Zelezny4Jirka3n = 7Zelezny took 4 of 7
S4Zelezny4Jirka3n = 7Zelezny took 4 of 7
S5Zelezny1Jirka2n = 3Jirka took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricZeleznyJirkaZ − JBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match38.341.1−2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyJirkaBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 216 vs 94 / 18552.8%50.8%114 / 216 vs 94 / 185Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyZelezny 1.61/Jirka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 29 · 14:50D. Zelezny32751281L. Jirka43111110113
WSep 13 · 13:55D. Zelezny4181111113L. Jirka29118641
LSep 13 · 11:55D. Zelezny45671111102L. Jirka45111156123
WMay 24 · 15:25D. Zelezny3811113133L. Jirka376911111
LOct 27 · 19:45D. Zelezny4291111562L. Jirka50119811113
WOct 27 · 16:55D. Zelezny46115811113L. Jirka4471111782
LMar 27 · 20:50D. Zelezny24611611L. Jirka4011711113
D. Zelezny10
WSep 29 · 16:50D. Zelezny1.361111113A. Brandtl Jr3.008470WSep 29 · 15:20A. Krcil1.8310790D. Zelezny1.831211113LSep 29 · 14:50L. Jirka2.10111110113D. Zelezny1.67751281WSep 22 · 17:30D. Zelezny1.44811811113T. Rein2.6311711982LSep 22 · 16:20V. Koutnik1.8351111123D. Zelezny1.831148101WSep 22 · 15:50T. Rein2.63614811112D. Zelezny1.441112119133WSep 22 · 14:50D. Zelezny2.10981211113J. Sebl1.67111110872WSep 15 · 17:50T. Rein2.40920491D. Zelezny1.50111811113WSep 15 · 16:20T. Cerveny Jr2.00119111122D. Zelezny1.73611913113LSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941
L. Jirka10
LSep 29 · 16:20A. Krcil1.8091111113L. Jirka1.91118681WSep 29 · 15:50A. Brandtl Jr2.1093100L. Jirka1.671111123WSep 29 · 14:50L. Jirka2.10111110113D. Zelezny1.67751281LSep 13 · 13:55L. Jirka2.07118641D. Zelezny1.6781111113LSep 13 · 12:55L. Jirka2.258720J. Sebl1.571111113WSep 13 · 11:55L. Jirka2.20111156123D. Zelezny1.61671111102LSep 13 · 10:55L. Jirka1.7388191152L. Rek2.001111173113LSep 8 · 21:20L. Jirka1.80851191B. Budik1.9111118113LSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101LSep 8 · 19:50J. Dohnal1.611111113L. Jirka2.209570
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