TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Josef Gruber vs Tadeas Bertho 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811411––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJosef Gruber to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Gruber above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Josef Gruber at 60.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Josef Gruber 1–1 Tadeas Bertho Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Gruber
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gruber 1609 vs Bertho 1511
Gruber
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gruber 0% vs Bertho 40%
Bertho
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gruber 30% vs Bertho 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gruber -6 · Bertho +1
Gruber
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Gruber) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gruber form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGruber 1.53 / Bertho 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Gruber)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13213250
Gruber1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 40 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Bertho2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 63 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGruber1wins
AwayBertho1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGruberBerthoG − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.535.5+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGruberBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 202 vs 370 / 69356.9%53.4%115 / 202 vs 370 / 693Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GruberGruber 1.53/Bertho 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Gruber · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 8 · 17:30J. Gruber4461441192T. Bertho531112118113
WOct 28 · 21:00J. Gruber331111113T. Bertho185670
J. Gruber10
WSep 29 · 19:30J. Gruber1.531111123S. Kalensky2.3879100LSep 29 · 17:30J. Gruber1.50681191J. Juppa2.5011116113LSep 9 · 20:14S. Kalensky2.50711611113J. Gruber1.5011611942LSep 9 · 19:15J. Gruber2.00311911122P. Orlowski1.73117118143LSep 9 · 18:15J. Gruber1.40591171J. Jnr2.7511117113LSep 9 · 17:15J. Gruber1.40117741S. Kalensky2.7561111113LAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113WAug 31 · 17:15J. Gruber1.3611116113V. Herrmann3.00791171
T. Bertho10
WSep 29 · 18:00S. Kalensky2.10711111492T. Bertho1.67119916113WSep 28 · 20:43F. Kubos1.57116111172T. Bertho2.25411134113LSep 28 · 19:45T. Bertho2.107890F. Kubos1.671111113LSep 28 · 18:15J. Snr2.501311612113T. Bertho1.50158111092WSep 28 · 17:45S. Kalensky2.1013118101T. Bertho1.67111311123LSep 26 · 12:41T. Bertho1.909670T. Hanke1.80111193LSep 26 · 12:00L. Stoces1.5711812113T. Bertho2.256111071LSep 26 · 11:00V. Herrmann1.61111211113T. Bertho2.201310891WSep 26 · 09:30T. Hanke1.8011971162T. Bertho1.91811115113LSep 25 · 20:43T. Bertho1.3361111101J. Snr3.2511913123
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