TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tadeas Bertho vs Tomas Hanke 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91161179––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Tomas Hanke below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-9
Point 53 set 3, 7-9
53 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 4–6 Tomas Hanke Tadeas Bertho has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Bertho beat Hanke 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanke form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.90 / Hanke 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bertho)+5.4pp
Setka Cup · #13200185
Bertho1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 62 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Hanke1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 71 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho4wins
AwayHanke6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHanke leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho60%3 of 5
AwayHanke80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho5Hanke5n = 10split evenly
S2Bertho7Hanke3n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S3Bertho3Hanke7n = 10Hanke took 7 of 10
S4Bertho3Hanke6n = 9Hanke took 6 of 9
S5Bertho2Hanke3n = 5Hanke took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoHankeB − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.4−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoHankeBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 688 vs 253 / 48353.5%52.4%368 / 688 vs 253 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.90/Hanke 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hanke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 09:30T. Bertho46811115113T. Hanke4411971162
WSep 19 · 10:15T. Bertho47111114113T. Hanke29551631
LSep 18 · 16:28T. Bertho4311137572T. Hanke506111111113
LSep 18 · 15:00T. Bertho321161141T. Hanke4271113113
LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho44611101162T. Hanke49119126113
WJul 2 · 16:34T. Bertho4012611113T. Hanke331011571
LJul 2 · 14:30T. Bertho4571116652T. Hanke511141411113
WJun 25 · 14:15T. Bertho521111910113T. Hanke4449111282
LMay 15 · 15:45T. Bertho225980T. Hanke331111113
LMay 8 · 20:00T. Bertho30711661T. Hanke3911611113
T. Bertho10
LSep 26 · 12:00L. Stoces1.5711812113T. Bertho2.256111071LSep 26 · 11:00V. Herrmann1.61111211113T. Bertho2.201310891WSep 26 · 09:30T. Hanke1.8011971162T. Bertho1.91811115113LSep 25 · 20:43T. Bertho1.3361111101J. Snr3.2511913123WSep 25 · 19:45J. Snr2.634980T. Bertho1.441111113WSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa1.50611991T. Bertho2.5011911113WSep 25 · 17:15L. Krasl2.20117100T. Bertho1.611311123WSep 22 · 20:58T. Bertho1.501111610113J. Snr2.5089111282WSep 22 · 20:00J. Snr1.913670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 22 · 19:00M. Cizek1.6716119143T. Bertho2.1014711121
T. Hanke10
LSep 26 · 11:30T. Hanke1.67513131032V. Herrmann2.1011111112113LSep 26 · 10:30T. Hanke2.2541270L. Stoces1.571114113LSep 26 · 09:30T. Hanke1.8011971162T. Bertho1.91811115113WSep 19 · 12:23O. Plyska2.505890T. Hanke1.501111113LSep 19 · 11:15T. Hanke1.5741090M. Vana2.251112113LSep 19 · 10:15T. Hanke1.67551631T. Bertho2.10111114113LSep 19 · 09:15T. Hanke1.5311101091O. Plyska2.3881212112WSep 18 · 16:28T. Bertho2.0011137572T. Hanke1.736111111113LSep 18 · 15:30Z. Kuksa1.8041111113T. Hanke1.91119891WSep 18 · 15:00T. Hanke1.7371113113T. Bertho2.001161141
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