TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ludek Stoces vs Tadeas Bertho 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1168111210117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeLudek Stoces to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLudek Stoces above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ludek Stoces at 58.9%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stoces
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stoces 1571 vs Bertho 1531
Stoces
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stoces 100% vs Bertho 60%
Stoces
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stoces 70% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stoces +6 · Bertho -1
Stoces
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stoces) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoces 1.57 / Bertho 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Stoces)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13196843
Stoces1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 17 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it56% 10 of 18
Bertho2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 62 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStocesBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 214 vs 368 / 68744.4%53.6%95 / 214 vs 368 / 687Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StocesStoces 1.57/Bertho 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Stoces · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stoces won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Stoces10
WSep 26 · 10:30T. Hanke2.2541270L. Stoces1.571114113WSep 26 · 10:00V. Herrmann2.00111261062L. Stoces1.737101112113WSep 21 · 20:53V. Herrmann1.837690L. Stoces1.831111113WSep 21 · 19:15S. Kalensky1.83711119102L. Stoces1.83118911123WSep 21 · 18:45L. Stoces1.91121111113V. Herrmann1.80146891WSep 21 · 17:45L. Stoces1.2811111010113F. Kubos3.5095121272LSep 19 · 16:24V. Lopata1.831211133L. Stoces1.83107110LSep 19 · 15:15V. Herrmann1.801113811113L. Stoces1.9161511982WSep 19 · 14:45L. Stoces2.3811115143V. Lopata1.532811121LSep 19 · 13:45L. Stoces2.35101060J. Juppa1.52121283
T. Bertho10
LSep 26 · 12:41T. Bertho1.909670T. Hanke1.80111193LSep 26 · 11:00V. Herrmann1.61111211113T. Bertho2.201310891WSep 26 · 09:30T. Hanke1.8011971162T. Bertho1.91811115113LSep 25 · 20:43T. Bertho1.3361111101J. Snr3.2511913123WSep 25 · 19:45J. Snr2.634980T. Bertho1.441111113WSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa1.50611991T. Bertho2.5011911113WSep 25 · 17:15L. Krasl2.20117100T. Bertho1.611311123WSep 22 · 20:58T. Bertho1.501111610113J. Snr2.5089111282WSep 22 · 20:00J. Snr1.913670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 22 · 19:00M. Cizek1.6716119143T. Bertho2.1014711121
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.