TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Hybl vs Lukas Provaznik 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911111––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Provaznik to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Lukas Provaznik @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · Lukas Provaznik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 72 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Lukas Provaznik at 61.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 1–4 Lukas Provaznik Tomas Hybl has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 10:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Provaznik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Provaznik
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1549 vs Provaznik 1609
Provaznik
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 40% vs Provaznik 60%
Provaznik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 40% vs Provaznik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl +1 · Provaznik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Provaznik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 2.20 / Provaznik 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Provaznik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13207832
Hybl2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Provaznik1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 36 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHybl1wins
AwayProvaznik4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderProvaznik leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHybln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayProvaznik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hybl1Provaznik4n = 5Provaznik took 4 of 5
S2Hybl3Provaznik2n = 5Hybl took 3 of 5
S3Hybl2Provaznik3n = 5Provaznik took 3 of 5
S4Hybl2Provaznik2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricHyblProvaznikH − PBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match37.838.8−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 172 vs 150 / 31050%48.4%86 / 172 vs 150 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProvaznikHybl 2.20/Provaznik 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.7%
Provaznik · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Lukas Provaznik @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
1–3
Provaznik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 5 · 16:44T. Hybl47711118102L. Provaznik46118411123
WAug 5 · 15:45T. Hybl4181111113L. Provaznik18111151
LJul 17 · 20:53T. Hybl184860L. Provaznik331111113
LJul 17 · 19:45T. Hybl481011611102L. Provaznik52129118123
LJul 13 · 14:00T. Hybl35147861L. Provaznik45121111113
T. Hybl10
WSep 28 · 10:30T. Hybl2.2511611113M. Hajek1.57611371LSep 28 · 09:30T. Hybl1.57641191J. Juppa2.2511118113WSep 23 · 12:18L. Smazik1.807290T. Hybl1.911111113LSep 23 · 11:15T. Hybl2.2011101011102M. Svitac1.61712127123LSep 23 · 10:15T. Hybl1.83391571L. Smazik1.83111113113LSep 23 · 09:15T. Hybl1.671271591V. Lopata2.10101117113LSep 13 · 16:58D. Brichacek2.0011118113T. Hybl1.73851181WSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113WSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101LSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123
L. Provaznik10
WSep 28 · 11:00L. Provaznik1.4011119113J. Juppa2.75981151LSep 28 · 10:00L. Provaznik2.25811691M. Hajek1.5711911113WSep 27 · 08:59L. Provaznik2.20127118113M. Hajek1.61101171172WSep 27 · 08:00L. Kolman1.9187100L. Provaznik1.801111123LSep 27 · 07:00M. Hajek1.5711117113L. Provaznik2.25641171WSep 27 · 05:30P. Orlowski1.53491191L. Provaznik2.3811113113LSep 23 · 15:30P. Semrad1.7331111113L. Provaznik2.00119581WSep 23 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.258111211113M. Hajek1.57119101352LSep 23 · 14:00L. Provaznik2.251414100D. Marasek1.571616123LSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661
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