TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Hybl vs Jachym Juppa 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611411118911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Hybl to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Hybl at 54.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 4–4 Jachym Juppa Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:25What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hybl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1544 vs Juppa 1583
Juppa
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 20% vs Juppa 40%
Juppa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 30% vs Juppa 50%
Juppa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl +1 · Juppa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hybl) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hybl form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 1.57 / Juppa 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Hybl)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13207735
Hybl1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 32 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Juppa2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 77 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back33% 26 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHybl4wins
AwayJuppa4wins
1 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHybl80%4 of 5
AwayJuppa100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hybl5Juppa3n = 8Hybl took 5 of 8
S2Hybl4Juppa4n = 8split evenly
S3Hybl4Juppa4n = 8split evenly
S4Hybl3Juppa3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricHyblJuppaH − JBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match37.837.4+0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 170 vs 444 / 84750%52.4%85 / 170 vs 444 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyblHybl 1.57/Juppa 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Hybl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 14 · 09:30T. Hybl4514119113J. Juppa391271191
WMay 19 · 10:00T. Hybl371511113J. Juppa2213630
LMar 15 · 14:45T. Hybl341151081J. Juppa3841112113
LMar 14 · 18:15T. Hybl46614131122J. Juppa5811121113113
WFeb 24 · 13:29T. Hybl4311911123J. Juppa359115101
LFeb 24 · 12:00T. Hybl376111191J. Juppa4211713113
WFeb 14 · 14:30T. Hybl4011711113J. Juppa32411981
LJan 16 · 16:45T. Hybl207940J. Juppa331111113
T. Hybl10
WSep 28 · 10:30T. Hybl2.2511611113M. Hajek1.57611371WSep 23 · 12:18L. Smazik1.807290T. Hybl1.911111113LSep 23 · 11:15T. Hybl2.2011101011102M. Svitac1.61712127123LSep 23 · 10:15T. Hybl1.83391571L. Smazik1.83111113113LSep 23 · 09:15T. Hybl1.671271591V. Lopata2.10101117113LSep 13 · 16:58D. Brichacek2.0011118113T. Hybl1.73851181WSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113WSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101LSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751
J. Juppa10
WSep 25 · 20:13J. Juppa1.671111113L. Krasl2.109780WSep 25 · 19:15L. Krasl2.10471191J. Juppa1.6711116113LSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa1.50611991T. Bertho2.5011911113LSep 25 · 17:45J. Juppa1.50511981J. Snr2.5011911113LSep 23 · 20:58J. Marhol3.001011118113J. Juppa1.3612951192WSep 23 · 20:00J. Juppa1.531111113J. Marhol2.387870LSep 23 · 18:30J. Botka2.7591111113J. Juppa1.40117991WSep 23 · 18:00J. Tichy2.0091141162J. Juppa1.73116116113LSep 20 · 13:15F. Kubos2.001311113J. Juppa1.7311970WSep 20 · 11:30O. Chadima2.101071171J. Juppa1.6712115103
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.