TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marek Kulisek vs Petr Vanek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11913117117111113
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timePetr Vanek to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Petr Vanek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 104 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Petr Vanek at 64.1%
104 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 14–38 Petr Vanek Marek Kulisek has won 14 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-38 in 52
Vanek
Correct
gap of 24 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1663 vs Vanek 1710
Vanek
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 80% vs Vanek 40%
Kulisek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 50% vs Vanek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek +3 · Vanek -2
Kulisek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vanek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 2.50 / Vanek 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Vanek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13206162
Kulisek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 102 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Vanek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek2wins
AwayVanek8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVanek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek66.7%2 of 3
AwayVanek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek3Vanek7n = 10Vanek took 7 of 10
S2Kulisek5Vanek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kulisek5Vanek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kulisek2Vanek5n = 7Vanek took 5 of 7
S5Kulisek1Vanek4n = 5Vanek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekVanekK − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.3−3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekVanekBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 867 vs 173 / 31945%54.2%390 / 867 vs 173 / 319Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanekKulisek 2.50/Vanek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Vanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 21:53M. Kulisek47101161192P. Vanek51129118113
LAug 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek4881111992P. Vanek49118811113
LAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek4881111992P. Vanek49118811113
LJun 12 · 18:50M. Kulisek134630P. Vanek331111113
LJun 6 · 22:30M. Kulisek42101151152P. Vanek42123115113
LJun 6 · 19:25M. Kulisek31971141P. Vanek3911116113
WMay 24 · 20:50M. Kulisek331111113P. Vanek154470
LMay 13 · 16:55M. Kulisek28116651P. Vanek3741111113
LMay 8 · 19:25M. Kulisek2411760P. Vanek351311113
WMay 7 · 21:53M. Kulisek48118117113P. Vanek4371171172
M. Kulisek10
LSep 27 · 22:38M. Kulisek3.0065110A. Kosacky1.361111133WSep 27 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.444640M. Kulisek2.631111113WSep 27 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.10711691M. Kulisek1.6711811113WSep 27 · 09:19M. Kulisek1.30913911113A. Langer3.40111111462LSep 27 · 08:50M. Kulisek1.807870O. Fiklik1.911111113WSep 27 · 07:20A. Langer2.758101171M. Kulisek1.4011128113LSep 27 · 06:50M. Sulc2.2011127113M. Kulisek1.616101171LSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060LSep 13 · 20:55M. Kulisek4.336720D. Bochnak1.201111113WSep 13 · 19:55M. Kulisek2.00411811113M. Cerny1.7311911542
P. Vanek10
WSep 27 · 22:08O. Fiklik2.2596111212P. Vanek1.571111710113LSep 27 · 20:25P. Vanek1.6111750O. Fiklik2.201311113LSep 27 · 18:55A. Kosacky2.25911111113P. Vanek1.5711981172WSep 22 · 18:23M. Brozek2.10118101182P. Vanek1.67811128113LSep 22 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8081030M. Brozek1.911112113WSep 22 · 15:55D. Hyza2.5011115982P. Vanek1.50771111113WSep 22 · 15:25A. Kosacky2.50931191P. Vanek1.5011115113WAug 3 · 21:53P. Vanek1.44129118113M. Kulisek2.63101161192LAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka2.0011119113P. Vanek1.73591151LAug 3 · 18:55P. Vanek2.209660D. Bochnak1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kulisek
Nothing scheduled
P. Vanek
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