TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kosacky vs Marek Kulisek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611411––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Kosacky above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 47 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Adam Kosacky at 60.5%
47 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kosacky 69–38 Marek Kulisek Marek Kulisek has won 38 of their 107 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 19:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kosacky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-38 in 107
Kosacky
Wrong
gap of 31 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosacky 1627 vs Kulisek 1649
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosacky 40% vs Kulisek 60%
Kulisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosacky 50% vs Kulisek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosacky +1 · Kulisek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kosacky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosacky 1.44 / Kulisek 2.63
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Kulisek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13206175
Kosacky1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 47 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Kulisek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 102 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosacky9wins
AwayKulisek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKosacky leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosacky100%8 of 8
AwayKulisekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosacky8Kulisek2n = 10Kosacky took 8 of 10
S2Kosacky5Kulisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosacky9Kulisek1n = 10Kosacky took 9 of 10
S4Kosacky3Kulisek2n = 5Kosacky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosackyKulisekKosacky − KulisekBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.532.2+6.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosackyKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 587 vs 389 / 86655.2%44.9%324 / 587 vs 389 / 866Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekKosacky 1.44/Kulisek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 4 · 22:25A. Kosacky4171211113M. Kulisek361110781
WJun 4 · 21:25A. Kosacky351311113M. Kulisek2611870
WMay 30 · 22:00A. Kosacky341111123M. Kulisek2495100
WMay 30 · 19:25A. Kosacky331111113M. Kulisek188370
WMay 8 · 22:03A. Kosacky331111113M. Kulisek177910
WMay 8 · 20:55A. Kosacky47111011153M. Kulisek355125131
WMay 6 · 19:05A. Kosacky52129154123M. Kulisek5510111311102
WMay 2 · 20:25A. Kosacky47118125113M. Kulisek41111101182
WApr 30 · 21:55A. Kosacky44111012113M. Kulisek368121061
LApr 30 · 19:55A. Kosacky1951040M. Kulisek341112113
A. Kosacky10
WSep 27 · 18:55A. Kosacky2.25911111113P. Vanek1.5711981172LSep 26 · 22:00A. Kosacky1.7387121152M. Prochazka2.001111107113LSep 26 · 20:55P. Dvorak1.6771111113A. Kosacky2.10118671LSep 26 · 20:25M. Brozek2.5091311123A. Kosacky1.5011112101WSep 26 · 19:25A. Kosacky1.911111113M. Prochazka1.807860WSep 25 · 18:35A. Kosacky1.501113143O. Fiklik2.45511120WSep 25 · 17:25M. Sulc3.5011118962A. Kosacky1.28931111113LSep 25 · 16:25A. Kosacky1.2811119862M. Sochor3.50671111113WSep 25 · 14:55O. Fiklik2.50710100A. Kosacky1.501112123LSep 25 · 14:04A. Rek1.83111423113A. Kosacky1.83812111192
M. Kulisek10
WSep 27 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.10711691M. Kulisek1.6711811113WSep 27 · 09:19M. Kulisek1.30913911113A. Langer3.40111111462LSep 27 · 08:50M. Kulisek1.807870O. Fiklik1.911111113WSep 27 · 07:20A. Langer2.758101171M. Kulisek1.4011128113LSep 27 · 06:50M. Sulc2.2011127113M. Kulisek1.616101171LSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060LSep 13 · 20:55M. Kulisek4.336720D. Bochnak1.201111113WSep 13 · 19:55M. Kulisek2.00411811113M. Cerny1.7311911542LSep 13 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.1012115652J. Zacharda1.671081111113LSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123
Upcoming Matches
A. Kosacky
Nothing scheduled
M. Kulisek
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