TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Martin Rek vs Adam Kosacky 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181412211311119
Adam Kosacky
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Adam Kosacky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9
92 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 6–11 Adam Kosacky Adam Martin Rek has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Rek beat Kosacky 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosacky form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.83 / Kosacky 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13194895
Rek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kosacky1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek3wins
AwayKosacky7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKosacky leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek33.3%2 of 6
AwayKosacky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek6Kosacky4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S2Rek5Kosacky5n = 10split evenly
S3Rek6Kosacky4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S4Rek0Kosacky6n = 6Kosacky took 6 of 6
S5Rek1Kosacky4n = 5Kosacky took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekKosackyR − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.338.8−2.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 546 vs 326 / 58957.5%55.4%314 / 546 vs 326 / 589Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.83/Kosacky 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 13:25A. Rek341111123A. Kosacky2082100
LJan 29 · 15:30A. Rek31119651A. Kosacky4291111113
LJan 29 · 12:25A. Rek154920A. Kosacky331111113
LDec 26 · 08:55A. Rek4511711792A. Kosacky43711311113
LDec 7 · 10:25A. Rek43111110382A. Kosacky50791211113
LSep 29 · 07:55A. Rek4614813742A. Kosacky5612111111113
WAug 8 · 11:40A. Rek331111113A. Kosacky206860
LJul 30 · 14:15A. Rek4571111972A. Kosacky49119711113
WJul 30 · 12:10A. Rek50811119113A. Kosacky4211871152
LApr 5 · 17:25A. Rek216960A. Kosacky331111113
A. Rek10
WSep 25 · 13:25A. Kosacky1.7382100A. Rek2.001111123LSep 25 · 12:25A. Rek1.506780V. Jr2.501111113LSep 25 · 10:55A. Langer2.38116411113A. Rek1.5311111972LSep 23 · 21:59M. Sulc2.151111109113A. Rek1.6378121152LSep 23 · 20:55A. Rek1.57611101152J. Hrncir2.25119126113LSep 23 · 19:55A. Rek1.53143111192M. Sulc2.38161199113LSep 23 · 18:55A. Rek1.5777111192O. Fiklik2.25111159113WSep 17 · 10:38O. Fiklik2.2510960A. Rek1.571211113LSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek1.57111259102O. Fiklik2.259101111123WSep 17 · 07:55A. Langer2.38119115102A. Rek1.53811611123
A. Kosacky10
LSep 25 · 13:25A. Kosacky1.7382100A. Rek2.001111123LSep 25 · 11:55A. Langer3.00151011113A. Kosacky1.361312581WSep 25 · 11:25V. Jr2.75118381A. Kosacky1.4031111113LSep 22 · 17:53D. Hyza1.75711711113A. Kosacky1.9511911672LSep 22 · 16:55D. Hyza1.8391111113A. Kosacky1.83116941LSep 22 · 16:25M. Brozek2.201111113A. Kosacky1.619550LSep 22 · 15:25A. Kosacky2.50931191P. Vanek1.5011115113LSep 16 · 18:35J. Volek3.4071511133A. Kosacky1.3011136111WSep 16 · 17:25M. Sulc4.0053131192A. Kosacky1.221111117113WSep 16 · 16:25A. Kosacky1.441112113J. Hrncir2.6361070
Upcoming Matches
A. Rek
Nothing scheduled
A. Kosacky
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.