TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marek Kulisek vs Ales Langer 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111311911114116
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6
96 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 9–1 Ales Langer Ales Langer has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kulisek beat Langer 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kulisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 1.30 / Langer 3.40
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Kulisek)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #13205661
Kulisek1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 54 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Langer3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 72 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek9wins
AwayLanger1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek100%8 of 8
AwayLangern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek8Langer2n = 10Kulisek took 8 of 10
S2Kulisek8Langer2n = 10Kulisek took 8 of 10
S3Kulisek8Langer2n = 10Kulisek took 8 of 10
S4Kulisek3Langer2n = 5Kulisek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekLangerK − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.428.6+8.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 864 vs 269 / 56144.8%48%387 / 864 vs 269 / 561Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekKulisek 1.30/Langer 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 07:20M. Kulisek4211128113A. Langer368101171
LJul 10 · 15:20M. Kulisek359111051A. Langer3611212113
WJun 28 · 07:20M. Kulisek46115118113A. Langer4361171182
WOct 25 · 14:05M. Kulisek331111113A. Langer249780
WOct 25 · 10:55M. Kulisek4071111113A. Langer30118471
WSep 20 · 16:25M. Kulisek361111143A. Langer2246120
WSep 20 · 10:25M. Kulisek331111113A. Langer151770
WSep 20 · 08:25M. Kulisek341211113A. Langer2110470
WSep 6 · 16:25M. Kulisek3711411113A. Langer33911941
WFeb 2 · 17:25M. Kulisek381611113A. Langer2614660
M. Kulisek10
LSep 27 · 08:50M. Kulisek1.807870O. Fiklik1.911111113WSep 27 · 07:20A. Langer2.758101171M. Kulisek1.4011128113LSep 27 · 06:50M. Sulc2.2011127113M. Kulisek1.616101171LSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060LSep 13 · 20:55M. Kulisek4.336720D. Bochnak1.201111113WSep 13 · 19:55M. Kulisek2.00411811113M. Cerny1.7311911542LSep 13 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.1012115652J. Zacharda1.671081111113LSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123WSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113
A. Langer10
LSep 27 · 08:20A. Langer2.005730M. Sulc1.731111113LSep 27 · 07:20A. Langer2.758101171M. Kulisek1.4011128113WSep 27 · 06:20A. Langer2.20811119113O. Fiklik1.6111651182LSep 26 · 14:30A. Langer2.49561141M. Sulc1.4811119113WSep 26 · 12:55A. Langer1.911111113J. Cerny1.809570LSep 26 · 11:55A. Langer1.73111212682D. Sochor2.008141011113WSep 26 · 10:55A. Langer2.108111111113M. Sulc1.6711713872LSep 25 · 14:34V. Jr1.83691111123A. Langer1.83111175102LSep 25 · 12:55A. Langer1.83711126112V. Jr1.831181011133WSep 25 · 11:55A. Langer3.00151011113A. Kosacky1.361312581
Upcoming Matches
M. Kulisek
A. Langer
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