TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vaclav Hejda Jr vs Ales Langer 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6119111171151210
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 93 set 5, 12-10
93 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 59–58 Ales Langer Ales Langer has won 58 of their 117 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Jr beat Langer 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Langer 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13195094
Jr1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Langer1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayLanger4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr85.7%6 of 7
AwayLanger100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr7Langer3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S2Jr6Langer4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr3Langer7n = 10Langer took 7 of 10
S4Jr5Langer3n = 8Jr took 5 of 8
S5Jr3Langer2n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrLangerJ − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.839.2+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 787 vs 266 / 55349.1%48.1%386 / 787 vs 266 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.83/Langer 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 12:55V. Jr531181011133A. Langer47711126112
LSep 24 · 07:55V. Jr371171271A. Langer4371114113
LSep 18 · 10:09V. Jr351111581A. Langer4113611113
WSep 18 · 06:55V. Jr501171011113A. Langer4781112882
WSep 14 · 12:20V. Jr331111113A. Langer269890
WSep 13 · 17:59V. Jr51119119113A. Langer4481191152
WSep 13 · 15:50V. Jr331111113A. Langer194780
LSep 8 · 13:50V. Jr47513101182A. Langer501111125113
LSep 8 · 11:50V. Jr501011101182A. Langer47128124113
WSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr3911116113A. Langer28641171
V. Jr10
WSep 25 · 12:55A. Langer1.83711126112V. Jr1.831181011133WSep 25 · 12:25A. Rek1.506780V. Jr2.501111113LSep 25 · 11:25V. Jr2.75118381A. Kosacky1.4031111113LSep 24 · 10:45V. Jr2.25811111092O. Fiklik1.57119612113WSep 24 · 09:25V. Jr2.101011813113J. Vonasek1.67128111162LSep 24 · 07:55A. Langer1.9171114113V. Jr1.801171271WSep 24 · 07:25O. Fiklik1.61911117112V. Jr2.20115911133LSep 18 · 10:09V. Jr1.831111581A. Langer1.8313611113LSep 18 · 08:55V. Jr2.207880J. Vonasek1.611111113LSep 18 · 07:55V. Jr2.2011129932O. Fiklik1.617101111113
A. Langer10
LSep 25 · 12:55A. Langer1.83711126112V. Jr1.831181011133WSep 25 · 11:55A. Langer3.00151011113A. Kosacky1.361312581WSep 25 · 10:55A. Langer2.38116411113A. Rek1.5311111972LSep 24 · 10:15J. Vonasek1.5011116113A. Langer2.50781191LSep 24 · 08:55A. Langer2.008390O. Fiklik1.731111113WSep 24 · 07:55A. Langer1.9171114113V. Jr1.801171271LSep 24 · 06:55A. Langer2.38112481J. Vonasek1.5361111113LSep 21 · 10:15O. Fiklik1.73119118113A. Langer2.0081171182LSep 21 · 08:55A. Langer1.50105100D. Sochor2.501211123WSep 18 · 10:09V. Jr1.831111581A. Langer1.8313611113
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