TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Langer vs Martin Sulc 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711311––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Langer above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Martin Sulc at 54.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 29–37 Martin Sulc Ales Langer has won 29 of their 66 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sulc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-37 in 66
Sulc
Correct
gap of 8 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1468 vs Sulc 1592
Sulc
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Sulc 80%
Sulc
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 50% vs Sulc 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Sulc +4
Sulc
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.00 / Sulc 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sulc)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13202692
Langer2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 72 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Sulc1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger5wins
AwaySulc5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLangern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySulc62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer2Sulc8n = 10Sulc took 8 of 10
S2Langer6Sulc4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S3Langer6Sulc4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S4Langer5Sulc3n = 8Langer took 5 of 8
S5Langer2Sulc1n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerSulcL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.038.2+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 560 vs 329 / 64848%50.8%269 / 560 vs 329 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcLanger 2.00/Sulc 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 26 · 10:55A. Langer528111111113M. Sulc4611713872
LSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer34811691M. Sulc3611311113
LAug 30 · 14:20A. Langer31991121M. Sulc4211119113
WAug 28 · 16:50A. Langer48611911113M. Sulc4411711872
WAug 13 · 13:25A. Langer3911116113M. Sulc31771161
LAug 11 · 10:55A. Langer47103111492M. Sulc471211112113
WAug 9 · 14:50A. Langer331111113M. Sulc225980
WAug 9 · 11:55A. Langer3741111113M. Sulc35118971
LAug 7 · 09:59A. Langer30191191M. Sulc4111118113
A. Langer10
LSep 27 · 07:20A. Langer2.758101171M. Kulisek1.4011128113WSep 27 · 06:20A. Langer2.20811119113O. Fiklik1.6111651182LSep 26 · 14:30A. Langer2.49561141M. Sulc1.4811119113WSep 26 · 12:55A. Langer1.911111113J. Cerny1.809570LSep 26 · 11:55A. Langer1.73111212682D. Sochor2.008141011113WSep 26 · 10:55A. Langer2.108111111113M. Sulc1.6711713872LSep 25 · 14:34V. Jr1.83691111123A. Langer1.83111175102LSep 25 · 12:55A. Langer1.83711126112V. Jr1.831181011133WSep 25 · 11:55A. Langer3.00151011113A. Kosacky1.361312581WSep 25 · 10:55A. Langer2.38116411113A. Rek1.5311111972
M. Sulc10
LSep 27 · 07:50O. Fiklik1.671011155113M. Sulc2.10126131152WSep 27 · 06:50M. Sulc2.2011127113M. Kulisek1.616101171WSep 26 · 14:30A. Langer2.49561141M. Sulc1.4811119113WSep 26 · 13:25D. Sochor2.756350M. Sulc1.401111113WSep 26 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6112119113J. Cerny2.201061141LSep 26 · 10:55A. Langer2.108111111113M. Sulc1.6711713872LSep 25 · 18:05M. Sulc1.801271113112M. Sochor1.901011515133LSep 25 · 17:25M. Sulc3.5011118962A. Kosacky1.28931111113LSep 25 · 15:55O. Fiklik1.6711133113M. Sulc2.105111181WSep 25 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011351152M. Sulc1.73611116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.