TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Langer vs Martin Sulc 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611119411––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingAles Langer above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 1-6
Point 60 set 4, 1-6
60 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ales Langer 29–36 Martin Sulc Ales Langer has won 29 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Langer beat Sulc 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.49 / Sulc 1.48
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Sulc)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13200701
Langer2.49
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 70 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back27% 24 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Sulc1.48
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 62 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger5wins
AwaySulc5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger66.7%2 of 3
AwaySulc57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Sulc7n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S2Langer7Sulc3n = 10Langer took 7 of 10
S3Langer5Sulc5n = 10split evenly
S4Langer5Sulc4n = 9Langer took 5 of 9
S5Langer2Sulc2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerSulcL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.639.2−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 557 vs 327 / 64648.1%50.6%268 / 557 vs 327 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcLanger 2.49/Sulc 1.48
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 10:55A. Langer528111111113M. Sulc4611713872
LSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer34811691M. Sulc3611311113
LAug 30 · 14:20A. Langer31991121M. Sulc4211119113
WAug 28 · 16:50A. Langer48611911113M. Sulc4411711872
WAug 13 · 13:25A. Langer3911116113M. Sulc31771161
LAug 11 · 10:55A. Langer47103111492M. Sulc471211112113
WAug 9 · 14:50A. Langer331111113M. Sulc225980
WAug 9 · 11:55A. Langer3741111113M. Sulc35118971
LAug 7 · 09:59A. Langer30191191M. Sulc4111118113
LAug 7 · 07:55A. Langer3511114362M. Sulc48691111113
A. Langer10
WSep 26 · 12:55A. Langer1.911111113J. Cerny1.809570LSep 26 · 11:55A. Langer1.73111212682D. Sochor2.008141011113WSep 26 · 10:55A. Langer2.108111111113M. Sulc1.6711713872LSep 25 · 14:34V. Jr1.83691111123A. Langer1.83111175102LSep 25 · 12:55A. Langer1.83711126112V. Jr1.831181011133WSep 25 · 11:55A. Langer3.00151011113A. Kosacky1.361312581WSep 25 · 10:55A. Langer2.38116411113A. Rek1.5311111972LSep 24 · 10:15J. Vonasek1.5011116113A. Langer2.50781191LSep 24 · 08:55A. Langer2.008390O. Fiklik1.731111113WSep 24 · 07:55A. Langer1.9171114113V. Jr1.801171271
M. Sulc10
WSep 26 · 13:25D. Sochor2.756350M. Sulc1.401111113WSep 26 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6112119113J. Cerny2.201061141LSep 26 · 10:55A. Langer2.108111111113M. Sulc1.6711713872LSep 25 · 18:05M. Sulc1.801271113112M. Sochor1.901011515133LSep 25 · 17:25M. Sulc3.5011118962A. Kosacky1.28931111113LSep 25 · 15:55O. Fiklik1.6711133113M. Sulc2.105111181WSep 25 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011351152M. Sulc1.73611116113WSep 23 · 21:59M. Sulc2.151111109113A. Rek1.6378121152WSep 23 · 21:25M. Sulc2.1071112113O. Fiklik1.671181071WSep 23 · 19:55A. Rek1.53143111192M. Sulc2.38161199113
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